WON Tip WON Amagaju 1-2 Al Hilal Omdurman
Fixture Document · Type V
A

Amagaju

Home Nation
L W D W L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
VS
1-2
A
Al Hilal Omdurman
Away Nation
W W L D W
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
59%
Tuesday, 31st March 2026 Selection
2
Backing Al Hilal Omdurman to win
Amagaju 20%
Draw 30%
Al Hilal Omdurman 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob72.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-13.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTA<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<H<<<<<O<<<<<<<F15CD4FAF4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 31 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Hilal Omdurman to win
1.38
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Amagaju vs Al Hilal Omdurman Competition: Rwanda Premier League Date: Tuesday, 31st March 2026 Pick: 2 (Al Hilal Omdurman to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Verification: F15CD4FAF
Head to Head
Record
0
Amagaju
0
Draws
1
Al Hilal Omdurman
1
Meetings
8
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal Omdurman won 1 of 1 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Amagaju
Metric
Al Hilal Omdurman
0.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
2-3-5
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
20%
50%
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 16.3%
0-2 12.7%
0-3 6.5%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 0.8%
A1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
A2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 0.9%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(16.3%) 0-2(12.7%) 1-2(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Amagaju Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hilal Omdurman Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Amagaju
Overall
2.9
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.7
Al Hilal Omdurman
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 37%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.01.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman8
Amagaju FC0
Recent Form
Amagaju
20.03.26
PL: APR FC1
Amagaju FC0
L
08.03.26
PL: Amagaju FC2
Gorilla FC1
W
01.03.26
PL: Bugesera FC0
Amagaju FC0
D
23.02.26
PL: Gasogi United0
Amagaju FC1
W
15.02.26
PL: Amagaju FC0
AS Kigali2
L
08.02.26
PL: Gicumbi FC1
Amagaju FC1
D
30.01.26
PL: Amagaju FC1
Marines FC1
D
14.01.26
PL: Amagaju FC0
APR FC1
L
11.01.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman8
Amagaju FC0
L
02.01.26
PL: Marines FC1
Amagaju FC0
L
Al Hilal Omdurman
28.03.26
PL: Rutsiro1
Al-Hilal Omdurman2
W
25.03.26
PL: Bugesera0
Al-Hilal Omdurman2
W
22.03.26
CL: Al-Hilal Omdurman0
Berkane1
L
14.03.26
CL: Berkane1
Al-Hilal Omdurman1
D
03.03.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman5
Gicumbi0
W
28.02.26
PL: Mukura Victory Sports3
Al-Hilal Omdurman1
L
25.02.26
PL: Rayon Sport1
Al-Hilal Omdurman1
D
21.02.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman1
Gorilla0
W
17.02.26
PL: Al-Hilal Omdurman1
Al-Merreikh2
L
14.02.26
CL: Al-Hilal Omdurman1
St Eloi Lupopo0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, Amagaju host Al Hilal Omdurman in Rwanda Premier League. We recommend Al Hilal Omdurman to win as the standout selection.

Amagaju arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Hilal Omdurman are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Amagaju, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Al Hilal Omdurman's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal omdurman to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Rwanda Premier League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 2, taking full advantage of the current @1.38 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 31 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Amagaju vs Al Hilal Omdurman?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal Omdurman to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Amagaju's current form?
Amagaju have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal Omdurman been performing recently?
Al Hilal Omdurman have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Amagaju lead with 0 wins versus Al Hilal Omdurman's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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