WON Tip WON AFC Fylde 2-0 Marine
Fixture Document · Type V
A

AFC Fylde

Home Nation
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
M
Marine
Away Nation
L W D W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VERIFIED
65%
Tuesday, 31st March 2026 Selection
1
Backing AFC Fylde to win
AFC Fylde 50%
Draw 30%
Marine 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-15%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTAFC<F<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<DD04BE42A4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 31 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
6
AFC Fylde
1
Draws
0
Marine
7
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip AFC Fylde won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AFC Fylde
Metric
Marine
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.4%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AFC Fylde Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Marine Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AFC Fylde
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.7
Marine
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.11.25
NLN: Marine0
AFC Fylde1
11.07.17
CF: Marine0
AFC Fylde5
18.01.14
NPL: Marine1
AFC Fylde2
17.09.13
NPL: AFC Fylde0
Marine0
01.04.13
NPL: AFC Fylde2
Marine0
01.01.13
NPL: Marine0
AFC Fylde4
29.09.12
FAT: AFC Fylde1
Marine0
Recent Form
AFC Fylde
28.03.26
NLN: AFC Fylde4
Darlington1
W
21.03.26
NLN: Worksop Town1
AFC Fylde0
L
17.03.26
NLN: Hereford1
AFC Fylde4
W
14.03.26
NLN: AFC Fylde4
King’s Lynn1
W
10.03.26
NLN: AFC Fylde2
AFC Telford1
W
07.03.26
NLN: Leamington1
AFC Fylde1
D
03.03.26
NLN: South Shields2
AFC Fylde1
L
28.02.26
NLN: AFC Fylde5
Curzon Ashton1
W
24.02.26
NLN: Macclesfield1
AFC Fylde4
W
21.02.26
NLN: Buxton0
AFC Fylde3
W
Marine
28.03.26
FAT: Wealdstone1
Marine0
L
21.03.26
NLN: AFC Telford0
Marine2
W
17.03.26
NLN: Peterborough Sports0
Marine0
D
14.03.26
NLN: Marine4
Worksop Town2
W
10.03.26
NLN: Marine2
Macclesfield4
L
07.03.26
NLN: King’s Lynn1
Marine0
L
28.02.26
FAT: Marine1
Woking0
W
24.02.26
NLN: Kidderminster4
Marine0
L
21.02.26
NLN: Oxford City0
Marine2
W
14.02.26
NLN: Marine5
Leamington0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, AFC Fylde host Marine in National League North. We recommend AFC Fylde to win as the standout selection.

AFC Fylde arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Marine are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AFC Fylde, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Marine's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.

Our verdict: afc fylde to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming National League North clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.25 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 31 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AFC Fylde vs Marine?
Our selection is 1 — AFC Fylde to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is AFC Fylde's current form?
AFC Fylde have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Marine been performing recently?
Marine have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AFC Fylde lead with 6 wins versus Marine's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
⚠️
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