Must Win Teams Today

Must Win Teams Today



Today's Picks
Ranked by probability • Fri 17 Jul
PRIME
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1X Ireland FA Cup 7:45 pm
90%
prob
PRIME
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5 China Super League 1:00 pm
80%
prob
PRIME
Celje vs Mura
Over 2.5 Slovenia PRVA Liga 7:15 pm
80%
prob
SOLID
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
60%
prob
SOLID
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 5:00 pm
50%
prob
SOLID
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1 Iceland Division 2 8:15 pm
50%
prob
SOLID
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1 China Super League 12:35 pm
50%
prob
SOLID
St Patricks vs Wexford
1 Ireland FA Cup 7:45 pm
50%
prob

Intelligence Feed
Friday • Site avg 75.7% • Data-derived, no guesswork
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1X Ireland FA Cup 7:45 pm
81
BACK IT
We have this one at 90% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5 China Super League 1:00 pm
73
LEAN YES
We have this one at 80% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here.
Celje vs Mura
Over 2.5 Slovenia PRVA Liga 7:15 pm
74
LEAN YES
We have this one at 80% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
70
LEAN YES
Our model puts this at 60%. Sits in the workable range, not a banker.
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W
1 Chile Primera Division Women 5:00 pm
67
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1 Iceland Division 2 8:15 pm
67
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1 China Super League 12:35 pm
66
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
St Patricks vs Wexford
1 Ireland FA Cup 7:45 pm
67
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.

Scores derived from 90-day historical data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.



Scoreboard
Last 30 days • 173 calls tracked
75.7%
Elite Form
Correct picks 131 — 75.7%
Incorrect picks 42 — 24.3%
131
Correct
42
Incorrect
173
Total Calls
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Competition Breakdown
Last 30 Days
# CompetitionGradedCorrectMissedAccuracyTrack
🥇 Argentina Primera Women 6 6 0 100%
🥈 Copa Chile 2 2 0 100%
🥉 USA USL League Two 3 3 0 100%
4 Russia FNL 2 - Div B 2 2 0 100%
5 Russia FNL 2 2 2 0 100%
6 Finland Kakkonen C 2 2 0 100%
7 Australia NPL Queensland 3 3 0 100%
8 Euro U19 Women 3 3 0 100%
9 Euro U19 4 4 0 100%
10 Finland Kakkonen A 2 2 0 100%
11 Chile Primera Division Women 3 3 0 100%
12 Belarus Cup 2 2 0 100%
13 China SL Women 2 2 0 100%
14 World Cup 2026 19 16 3 84.2%
15 Latvia Virsliga 6 5 1 83.3%
16 Finland Veikkausliiga 6 5 1 83.3%
17 Iceland Besta deild Women 4 3 1 75%
18 China League One 3 2 1 66.7%
19 Iceland Besta deild karla 3 2 1 66.7%
20 Kuwait Premier League 3 2 1 66.7%
21 UCL Qualifiers 3 2 1 66.7%
22 Club Friendly 12 8 4 66.7%
23 Finland Kakkonen B 2 1 1 50%
24 Brasileiro U20 2 1 1 50%
25 Conference League Qualifier 2 1 1 50%
26 Lithuania 1 Lyga 2 1 1 50%
27 Lithuania TopLyga 2 1 1 50%
28 Morocco Botola Pro 2 1 1 50%
29 Belarus Vysshaya Liga 2 1 1 50%
30 China Super League 2 1 1 50%
31 Russia Youth League 2 1 1 50%
32 Estonia Meistriliiga 2 0 2 0%
33 Australia NPL Victoria 2 0 2 0%
Competitions with fewer than 2 graded tips not shown

Market Accuracy
How each market type is performing
X2 Top market
3W  /  0L  • 3
100%
1 Top market
65W  /  19L  • 84
77.4%
2 Top market
16W  /  5L  • 21
76.2%
1X Top market
12W  /  4L  • 16
75%
Over 2.5 Performing
18W  /  7L  • 25
72%
Over 1.5 Performing
17W  /  7L  • 24
70.8%

Edge Calculator

Paste any bookmaker price and your estimated probability to instantly see whether the market is giving you edge or taking it from you.

Bookie Price (@)
Your Probability (%)

Form Matrix
Win rate by market × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Overall
1 78% 86% 79% 73% 75% 77% 72% 77%
1X 64% 90% 78% 88% 75% 100% 80%
2 50% 86% 85% 69% 64% 73% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 67% 67% 56% 73% 100% 100% 71%
Over 2.5 75% 71% 69% 64% 50% 77% 80% 69%
X2 67% 100% 80%
Key: <40% 40-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

Heat Check
Recent 7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • Hottest leagues first
Club Friendly
0%baseline: 66.7%100%
75%
now
+8.3pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline: 100%100%
100%
now
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline: 83.3%100%
83.3%
now
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline: 83.3%100%
83.3%
now
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline: 84.2%100%
84.2%
now
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. White marker = baseline.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where we publish most confidently • last 90 days

Each market is ranked by two signals at once: how often we publish it (volume depth) and how often it wins (accuracy). High depth + high accuracy = our most trusted markets.

1
1
Volume 306 tips
Accuracy 77.5%
We publish this a lot and it delivers. Core market.
HIGH 237W / 69L
2
2
Volume 73 tips
Accuracy 78.1%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 57W / 16L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 66 tips
Accuracy 66.7%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 44W / 22L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 47 tips
Accuracy 70.2%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 33W / 14L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 9 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 7W / 2L

HIGH = high-confidence market. MED = performing, watch for more. LOW = below-par returns. Min. 3 graded tips to appear.


75.7%
30-day accuracy
173 graded tips
76.5%
This Week
131
Correct Calls
42
Missed Calls
173
Total Graded
View Full Record →


Leverage More Tips


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.