Fixture Document · Type V
C

Coquimbo W

Home Nation
L L W W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
H
Huachipato W
Away Nation
W D L W W
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
53%
Friday, 17th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Coquimbo W to win
Coquimbo W 50%
Draw 30%
Huachipato W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-24.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTC<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<8EA24FA9B4BTT2607172M2607179<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 17 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Coquimbo W to win
1.29
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No75% Coquimbo W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W Competition: Chile Primera Division Women Date: Friday, 17th July 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Coquimbo W to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 53% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Coquimbo W Clean Sheet (70%) Verification: 8EA24FA9B
Head to Head
Record
2
Coquimbo W
0
Draws
1
Huachipato W
3
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Coquimbo W won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Coquimbo W
Metric
Huachipato W
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.7
70%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-2-3
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Coquimbo W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Huachipato W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Coquimbo W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.7
Huachipato W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
Coquimbo4
24.05.25PD
Coquimbo W5
Huachipato0
10.05.25PD
Huachipato W1
Coquimbo0
Recent Form
Coquimbo W
13.07.26PD
U. Catolica W3
Coquimbo W2
L
08.07.26PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W3
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
W
27.06.26PD
Deportes Iquique W0
Coquimbo W2
W
20.06.26PD
S. Wanderers W0
Coquimbo W2
W
12.06.26PD
Coquimbo W3
Recoleta W0
W
30.05.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. Catolica W1
L
24.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W0
Coquimbo W0
D
13.05.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Deportes Iquique W0
W
08.05.26PD
Magallanes W0
Coquimbo W0
D
Huachipato W
11.07.26PD
Huachipato W3
Deportes Temuco W2
W
03.07.26PD
Magallanes W1
Huachipato W1
D
26.06.26PD
Huachipato W0
Colo-Colo W7
L
20.06.26PD
Recoleta W0
Huachipato W1
W
13.06.26PD
Huachipato W2
Magallanes W0
W
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
23.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. Espanola W1
D
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
13.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. De Concepcion W0
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
Coquimbo W (Home)
08.07.26PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W3
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
W
12.06.26PD
Coquimbo W3
Recoleta W0
W
30.05.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. Catolica W1
L
13.05.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Deportes Iquique W0
W
25.04.26PD
Coquimbo W0
U. De Chile W0
D
28.03.26PD
Coquimbo W1
Palestino W1
D
13.03.26PD
Coquimbo W2
U. De Concepcion W0
W
13.11.25PD
Coquimbo W0
Colo-Colo W1
L
08.11.25PD
Coquimbo W2
U. Catolica W1
W
Huachipato W (Away)
03.07.26PD
Magallanes W1
Huachipato W1
D
20.06.26PD
Recoleta W0
Huachipato W1
W
31.05.26PD
Colo-Colo W5
Huachipato W1
L
17.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
Huachipato W1
W
09.05.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
Huachipato W0
L
26.04.26PD
U. Catolica W1
Huachipato W0
L
21.03.26PD
Palestino W2
Huachipato W2
D
07.11.25PD
U. De Chile W3
Huachipato W0
L
13.09.25PD
U. Catolica W2
Huachipato W0
L
27.08.25PD
S. Morning W2
Huachipato W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Coquimbo W host Huachipato W at N/A in Chile Primera Division Women. We recommend Coquimbo W to win as the standout selection.

Coquimbo W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Huachipato W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Coquimbo W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Huachipato W's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: coquimbo w to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this Chile Primera Division Women preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 1 at @1.29, which the model rates around 80%. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 17 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Coquimbo W vs Huachipato W?
Our selection is 1 — Coquimbo W to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Coquimbo W's current form?
Coquimbo W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Huachipato W been performing recently?
Huachipato W have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Coquimbo W lead with 2 wins versus Huachipato W's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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