WON Tip WON Slavia Prague 5-1 Jablonec
Fixture Document · Type V
S

Slavia Prague

Home Nation
L W W L D
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
5-1
J
Jablonec
Away Nation
D L L W L
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
56%
Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Slavia Prague to win
Slavia Prague 50%
Draw 30%
Jablonec 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-15.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTS<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<01359E7874BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 13 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Slavia Prague to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Slavia Prague vs Jablonec Competition: Czech Chance Liga Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Slavia Prague to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Verification: 01359E787
Head to Head
Record
6
Slavia Prague
2
Draws
2
Jablonec
10
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Slavia Prague won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Slavia Prague
Metric
Jablonec
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
S0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.7%) 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Slavia Prague Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Jablonec Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Slavia Prague
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Jablonec
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26CUP
Jablonec3
Slavia Prague (aet)2
13.12.251L
Slavia Prague4
Jablonec3
16.08.251L
Jablonec1
Slavia Prague1
18.05.251L
Jablonec3
Slavia Prague2
16.03.251L
Slavia Prague3
Jablonec0
20.10.241L
Jablonec1
Slavia Prague2
11.02.241L
Slavia Prague4
Jablonec3
27.08.231L
Jablonec1
Slavia Prague1
29.01.231L
Slavia Prague5
Jablonec1
14.08.221L
Jablonec2
Slavia Prague3
Recent Form
Slavia Prague
09.05.261L
Slavia Prague0
Sparta Prague3
L
02.05.261L
Liberec1
Slavia Prague2
W
25.04.261L
Slavia Prague2
Sigma Olomouc1
W
19.04.261L
Hradec Kralove2
Slavia Prague1
L
12.04.261L
Slavia Prague0
Plzen0
D
05.04.261L
Ostrava0
Slavia Prague2
W
14.03.261L
Zlin1
Slavia Prague3
W
08.03.261L
Slavia Prague3
Sparta Prague1
W
03.03.26CUP
Jablonec3
Slavia Prague2
L
27.02.261L
Dukla Prague0
Slavia Prague2
W
Jablonec
10.05.261L
Jablonec1
Hradec Kralove1
D
03.05.261L
Sparta Prague2
Jablonec0
L
25.04.261L
Jablonec1
Liberec2
L
21.04.26CUP
Jablonec1
Mlada Boleslav0
W
18.04.261L
Sparta Prague3
Jablonec1
L
11.04.261L
Jablonec4
Ostrava1
W
04.04.261L
Zlin0
Jablonec3
W
27.03.26CF
Bohemians1
Jablonec1
D
14.03.261L
Dukla Prague2
Jablonec0
L
07.03.261L
Jablonec1
Sigma Olomouc2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Slavia Prague host Jablonec in Czech Chance Liga. We recommend Slavia Prague to win as the standout selection.

Slavia Prague arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jablonec are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Slavia Prague, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Jablonec's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: slavia prague to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Czech Chance Liga clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.39 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 13 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slavia Prague vs Jablonec?
Our selection is 1 — Slavia Prague to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Slavia Prague's current form?
Slavia Prague have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jablonec been performing recently?
Jablonec have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slavia Prague lead with 6 wins versus Jablonec's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
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