LOST Tip LOST Dodoma Jiji 3-2 Young Africans
Fixture Document · Type V
D

Dodoma Jiji

Home Nation
D W D L L
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
Y
Young Africans
Away Nation
W W D W W
6W 4D 0L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
54%
Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Young Africans to win
Dodoma Jiji 20%
Draw 30%
Young Africans 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob80.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-26.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTD<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<Y<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<E671FF4FC4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 13 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Young Africans to win
1.24
BTTS — No75% Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet60% Young Africans Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Young Africans to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 54% Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet (60%) Also: Young Africans Clean Sheet (80%) Verification: E671FF4FC
Head to Head
Record
4
Dodoma Jiji
5
Draws
10
Young Africans
19
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
26%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Neutral Young Africans won 10 of 19 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dodoma Jiji
Metric
Young Africans
1.1
Goals For / Game
2
1
Goals Against / Game
0.3
60%
Clean Sheets
80%
4-3-3
W — D — L
6-4-0
Win Rate
40%
60%
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
D0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 16.6%
0-2 12.5%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.7%
D1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
D2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(16.6%) 0-2(12.5%) 1-2(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dodoma Jiji Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Young Africans Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dodoma Jiji
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
Young Africans
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
9.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.01.26LKB
Young Africans3
Dodoma Jiji1
22.06.25LKB
Young Africans5
Dodoma Jiji0
25.12.24LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans4
22.05.24LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans4
10.04.24FAC
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
05.02.24LKB
Young Africans1
Dodoma Jiji0
13.05.23LKB
Young Africans4
Dodoma Jiji2
22.11.22LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
15.05.22LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
31.12.21LKB
Young Africans4
Dodoma Jiji10.05.26 (LKB) Pamba 0 - 0 Dodoma Jiji0
06.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Dodoma Jiji1
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
15.04.26LKB
Coastal Union3
Dodoma Jiji1
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
03.04.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
Fountain Gate0
11.03.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Azam3
25.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Simba0
12.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
TRA United0
08.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji2
Kinondoni MC1
Recent Form
Dodoma Jiji
10.05.26LKB
Pamba0
Dodoma Jiji0
D
06.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Dodoma Jiji1
W
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
D
15.04.26LKB
Coastal Union3
Dodoma Jiji1
L
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
L
03.04.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
Fountain Gate0
W
11.03.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Azam3
L
25.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Simba0
D
12.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
TRA United0
W
08.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji2
Kinondoni MC1
W
Young Africans
09.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Coastal Union0
W
06.05.26LKB
Kinondoni MC0
Young Africans1
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans6
Mbeya City0
W
11.04.26FAC
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
W
08.04.26LKB
Pamba0
Young Africans3
W
04.04.26LKB
Young Africans3
Tanzania Prisons0
W
21.03.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar1
Young Africans1
D
18.03.26LKB
TRA United0
Young Africans0
D
15.03.26LKB
Azam0
Young Africans0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Dodoma Jiji host Young Africans in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Young Africans to win as the standout selection.

Dodoma Jiji arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Young Africans are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 4D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dodoma Jiji, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Young Africans's 10, with 5 draws from 19 encounters. Both teams have scored in 26% of those meetings.

Our verdict: young africans to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 2, taking full advantage of the current @1.24 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 13 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans?
Our selection is 2 — Young Africans to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Dodoma Jiji's current form?
Dodoma Jiji have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Young Africans been performing recently?
Young Africans have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dodoma Jiji lead with 4 wins versus Young Africans's 10, with 5 draws across 19 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 26%.
⚠️
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