WON Tip WON Zalaegerszegi 4-0 Kazincbarcika
Fixture Document · Type V
Z

Zalaegerszegi

Home Nation
L W W D W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
4-0
K
Kazincbarcika
Away Nation
L L W L W
2W 0D 8L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
55%
Saturday, 18th April 2026 Selection
1
Backing Zalaegerszegi to win
Zalaegerszegi 50%
Draw 30%
Kazincbarcika 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-18%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<3D752B0964BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 18 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Zalaegerszegi to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zalaegerszegi vs Kazincbarcika Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Zalaegerszegi to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Verification: 3D752B096
Head to Head
Record
4
Zalaegerszegi
2
Draws
1
Kazincbarcika
7
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
29%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Neutral Zalaegerszegi won 4 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zalaegerszegi
Metric
Kazincbarcika
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
Z0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
Z1
1-0 10.0%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
Z2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.4%) 1-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zalaegerszegi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kazincbarcika Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zalaegerszegi
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Kazincbarcika
Overall
2.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.01.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Zalaegerszegi1
27.09.25NB I
Zalaegerszegi5
Kazincbarcika0
19.10.22Magyar Kupa
Kazincbarcika0
Zalaegerszegi2
14.04.19NB II
Zalaegerszegi1
Kazincbarcika0
21.10.18NB II
Kazincbarcika1
Zalaegerszegi1
06.05.18NB II
Zalaegerszegi2
Kazincbarcika2
29.10.17NB II
Kazincbarcika2
Zalaegerszegi0
Recent Form
Zalaegerszegi
11.04.26NB I
MTK Budapest3
Zalaegerszegi0
L
04.04.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Kisvarda0
W
21.03.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Ujpest0
W
14.03.26NB I
Paks1
Zalaegerszegi1
D
07.03.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi2
Gyor1
W
04.03.26Magyar Kupa
Zalaegerszegi1
Soroksar0
W
28.02.26NB I
DVTK1
Zalaegerszegi1
D
22.02.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi1
Debrecen1
D
14.02.26NB I
Zalaegerszegi3
Ferencvaros1
W
11.02.26Magyar Kupa
Zalaegerszegi2
Vasas1
W
Kazincbarcika
11.04.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Ujpest3
L
04.04.26NB I
Paks5
Kazincbarcika1
L
27.03.26Club Friendly
Gesztely0
Kazincbarcika3
W
22.03.26NB I
Kazincbarcika1
Gyor3
L
13.03.26NB I
DVTK0
Kazincbarcika4
W
08.03.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Debrecen3
L
04.03.26Magyar Kupa
Kazincbarcika0
Ferencvaros5
L
01.03.26NB I
Ferencvaros2
Kazincbarcika1
L
21.02.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Puskas Academy2
L
15.02.26NB I
Kazincbarcika0
Nyiregyhaza4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Zalaegerszegi host Kazincbarcika in Hungary NB 1. We recommend Zalaegerszegi to win as the standout selection.

Zalaegerszegi arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kazincbarcika are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalaegerszegi, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Kazincbarcika's 1, with 2 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zalaegerszegi to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Hungary NB 1 clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.37 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalaegerszegi vs Kazincbarcika?
Our selection is 1 — Zalaegerszegi to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Zalaegerszegi's current form?
Zalaegerszegi have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kazincbarcika been performing recently?
Kazincbarcika have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalaegerszegi lead with 4 wins versus Kazincbarcika's 1, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
⚠️
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