WON Tip WON Wurzburger Kickers 4-1 Burghausen
Fixture Document · Type V
W

Wurzburger Kickers

Home Nation
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
4-1
B
Burghausen
Away Nation
L W L L D
3W 4D 3L → Steady
MODERATE
61%
Friday, 1st May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Wurzburger Kickers to win
Wurzburger Kickers 50%
Draw 30%
Burghausen 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-12.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTW<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<61FEC91594BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 1 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
6
Wurzburger Kickers
2
Draws
1
Burghausen
9
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
22%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Wurzburger Kickers won 6 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Wurzburger Kickers
Metric
Burghausen
2.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
W0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
W1
1-0 12.8%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
W2
2-0 12.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
W3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
W4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.8%) 2-0(12.1%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Wurzburger Kickers Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Burghausen Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Wurzburger Kickers
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.0
Defence
8.0
Burghausen
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.10.25RL
Burghausen1
Wurzburger Kickers1
15.11.24RL
Wurzburger Kickers2
Burghausen0
02.08.24RL
Burghausen2
Wurzburger Kickers0
06.04.24RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers1
22.09.23RL
Wurzburger Kickers3
Burghausen0
29.04.23RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers2
03.10.22RL
Wurzburger Kickers3
Burghausen1
28.11.14RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers0
01.08.14RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Burghausen0
Recent Form
Wurzburger Kickers
26.04.26RL
Furth II1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
21.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers1
Bayreuth1
D
18.04.26RL
Memmingen1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
10.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers2
Bayern II1
W
06.04.26RL
Schwaben Augsburg0
Wurzburger Kickers2
W
02.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers5
Hankofen-Hailing0
W
28.03.26RL
Eichstatt1
Wurzburger Kickers1
D
20.03.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Aschaffenburg0
W
14.03.26RL
Augsburg II0
Wurzburger Kickers1
W
10.03.26RL
Vilzing1
Wurzburger Kickers1
D
Burghausen
28.04.26RL
Burghausen3
Nurnberg II4
L
24.04.26RL
Memmingen0
Burghausen1
W
21.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Furth II3
L
18.04.26RL
Schwaben Augsburg1
Burghausen0
L
14.04.26RL
Augsburg II0
Burghausen0
D
10.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Bayreuth1
D
06.04.26RL
Hankofen-Hailing0
Burghausen1
W
01.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Bayern II0
W
27.03.26RL
Aschaffenburg2
Burghausen2
D
20.03.26RL
Burghausen0
Buchbach0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Wurzburger Kickers host Burghausen in Ger. Regionalliga Bayern. We recommend Wurzburger Kickers to win as the standout selection.

Wurzburger Kickers arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Burghausen are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wurzburger Kickers, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Burghausen's 1, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: wurzburger kickers to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Ger. Regionalliga Bayern clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data.

The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds. While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back.

The traveling squad demands a very careful review too. We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today.

Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook. Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear.

Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.36 odds. As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate.

Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 1 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wurzburger Kickers vs Burghausen?
Our selection is 1 — Wurzburger Kickers to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Wurzburger Kickers's current form?
Wurzburger Kickers have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Burghausen been performing recently?
Burghausen have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wurzburger Kickers lead with 6 wins versus Burghausen's 1, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
⚠️
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