WON Tip WON Werder Bremen W 0-2 Bayern Munich W
Fixture Document · Type V
W

Werder Bremen W

Home Nation
D D W L W
2W 6D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
B
Bayern Munich W
Away Nation
D W W W W
9W 1D 0L → Steady
VERIFIED
68%
Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Selection
2
Backing Bayern Munich W to win
Werder Bremen W 20%
Draw 30%
Bayern Munich W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob71.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-3.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTW<<<<<<B<<<<<<W<<<<<<<B<<<<<<M<<<<<<W<<53AEEAEAF4BTT2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 29 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Bayern Munich W to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W Competition: Bundesliga Women Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 2 (Bayern Munich W to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Verification: 53AEEAEAF
Head to Head
Record
0
Werder Bremen W
0
Draws
10
Bayern Munich W
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bayern Munich W won 10 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Werder Bremen W
Metric
Bayern Munich W
1.3
Goals For / Game
3
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-6-2
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate
20%
90%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
W0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 9.9%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 1.8%
W1
1-0 4.1%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 4.0%
1-5 1.8%
W2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.9%
W3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
W4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
W5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(9.9%) 1-2(9.9%) 0-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Werder Bremen W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Bayern Munich W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Werder Bremen W
Overall
3.8
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Bayern Munich W
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25BUN
Bayern Munich W4
Werder Bremen0
01.05.25POK
Bayern Munich W4
Werder Bremen2
16.02.25BUN
Bayern Munich W1
Werder Bremen0
29.09.24BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich4
22.04.24BUN
Bayern Munich W3
Werder Bremen0
19.11.23BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
05.03.23BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
25.09.22BUN
Bayern Munich W3
Werder Bremen0
19.12.21BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Bayern Munich2
29.08.21BUN
Bayern Munich W8
Werder Bremen0
Recent Form
Werder Bremen W
25.04.26BUN
RB Leipzig W1
Werder Bremen W1
D
22.04.26BUN
Werder Bremen W0
Wolfsburg W0
D
29.03.26BUN
Werder Bremen W2
SGS Essen W1
W
23.03.26BUN
Union Berlin W4
Werder Bremen W1
L
14.03.26BUN
Werder Bremen W4
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
W
11.03.26POK
SGS Essen W1
Werder Bremen W0
L
21.02.26BUN
Hamburger SV W1
Werder Bremen W1
D
01.02.26BUN
Hoffenheim W0
Werder Bremen W0
D
25.01.26BUN
Werder Bremen W1
1.FC Nurnberg W1
D
10.01.26CF
AZ Alkmaar W3
Werder Bremen W3
D
Bayern Munich W
25.04.26CL
Bayern Munich W1
Barcelona W1
D
22.04.26BUN
Union Berlin W2
Bayern Munich W3
W
06.04.26POK
Bayern Munich W4
SGS Essen W0
W
01.04.26CL
Bayern Munich W2
Manchester Utd W1
W
28.03.26BUN
Bayern Munich W2
1.FC Nurnberg W0
W
25.03.26CL
Manchester Utd W2
Bayern Munich W3
W
20.03.26BUN
SGS Essen W0
Bayern Munich W5
W
15.03.26BUN
Koln W0
Bayern Munich W3
W
11.03.26POK
Hamburger SV W0
Bayern Munich W3
W
22.02.26BUN
Bayern Munich W4
Wolfsburg W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Werder Bremen W host Bayern Munich W in Bundesliga Women. We recommend Bayern Munich W to win as the standout selection.

Werder Bremen W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bayern Munich W are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Werder Bremen W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bayern Munich W's 10, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 10% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bayern munich w to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Bundesliga Women clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 2, taking full advantage of the current @1.39 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our selection is 2 — Bayern Munich W to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Werder Bremen W's current form?
Werder Bremen W have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bayern Munich W been performing recently?
Bayern Munich W have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Werder Bremen W lead with 0 wins versus Bayern Munich W's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
⚠️
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