LOST Tip LOST Spartak Moscow U19 2-2 Rubin Kazan U19
Fixture Document · Type V
S

Spartak Moscow U19

Home Nation
D D L W D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-2
R
Rubin Kazan U19
Away Nation
W L D L L
1W 2D 7L → Steady
CAUTION
44%
Friday, 22nd May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Spartak Moscow U19 to win
Spartak Moscow U19 50%
Draw 30%
Rubin Kazan U19 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-29%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTS<<<<<<<M<<<<<<U19<<<<R<<<<<K<<<<<U19<<39D6033E94BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 22 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Spartak Moscow U19 to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Rubin Kazan U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Spartak Moscow U19 to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 44% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Verification: 39D6033E9
Head to Head
Record
4
Spartak Moscow U19
6
Draws
0
Rubin Kazan U19
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Spartak Moscow U19 won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Spartak Moscow U19
Metric
Rubin Kazan U19
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.5
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-4-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 8.3%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 3-1(6.7%) 2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Spartak Moscow U19 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rubin Kazan U19 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Spartak Moscow U19
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
Rubin Kazan U19
Overall
1.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
1.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.07.25YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U190
07.03.25YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Rubin Kazan U190
09.08.24YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U190
03.05.24YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U191
10.11.23YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
05.11.21YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Spartak Moscow U190
17.09.21YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
12.05.21YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Spartak Moscow U192
07.04.21YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Rubin Kazan U192
18.10.19YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Rubin Kazan U190
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow U19
15.05.26YL
Ural U193
Spartak Moscow U193
D
07.05.26YL
Spartak Moscow U192
Zenit U192
D
01.05.26YL
Krasnodar U193
Spartak Moscow U190
L
24.04.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
FK Rostov U190
W
17.04.26YL
Rodina Moscow U190
Spartak Moscow U190
D
10.04.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
Chertanovo M. U190
W
03.04.26YL
CSKA Moscow U192
Spartak Moscow U190
L
20.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U193
W
13.03.26YL
Dynamo Moscow U191
Spartak Moscow U191
D
06.03.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
Nizhny Novgorod U192
W
Rubin Kazan U19
15.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U193
Dynamo Makhachkala U191
W
07.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
L
01.05.26YL
Ural U191
Rubin Kazan U191
D
24.04.26YL
Rubin Kazan U191
Zenit U194
L
17.04.26YL
Krasnodar U195
Rubin Kazan U191
L
10.04.26YL
Rubin Kazan U190
FK Rostov U191
L
03.04.26YL
Rodina Moscow U193
Rubin Kazan U191
L
20.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U190
Chertanovo M. U190
D
13.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
CSKA Moscow U194
L
06.03.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Fakel Voronezh U193
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, Spartak Moscow U19 host Rubin Kazan U19 in Russia Youth League. We recommend Spartak Moscow U19 to win as the standout selection.

Spartak Moscow U19 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rubin Kazan U19 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Spartak Moscow U19, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Rubin Kazan U19's 0, with 6 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: spartak moscow u19 to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Russia Youth League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.37 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 22 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Spartak Moscow U19 vs Rubin Kazan U19?
Our selection is 1 — Spartak Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Spartak Moscow U19's current form?
Spartak Moscow U19 have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rubin Kazan U19 been performing recently?
Rubin Kazan U19 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spartak Moscow U19 lead with 4 wins versus Rubin Kazan U19's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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