WON Tip WON Singida 4-1 Mbeya City
Fixture Document · Type V
S

Singida

Home Nation
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
4-1
M
Mbeya City
Away Nation
D L L W D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
59%
Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Singida to win
Singida 60%
Draw 20%
Mbeya City 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob81.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-22.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<70380D9164BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 27 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
4
Singida
2
Draws
0
Mbeya City
6
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Singida won 4 of the last 6 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Singida
Metric
Mbeya City
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-1-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.0%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Singida Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mbeya City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Singida
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
05.02.23LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Mbeya City0
08.10.22LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
15.04.21LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Mbeya City0
02.11.20LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
Recent Form
Singida
22.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Singida Black Stars0
L
16.05.26FAC
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
L
12.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Namungo0
W
09.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars4
Mtibwa Sugar0
W
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
W
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
L
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
W
08.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Kinondoni MC0
W
05.04.26LKB
TRA United2
Singida Black Stars0
L
Mbeya City
21.05.26LKB
Namungo1
Mbeya City1
D
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Coastal Union2
L
09.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mbeya City0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Mbeya City2
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Mashujaa0
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans6
Mbeya City0
L
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
L
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
03.04.26LKB
Mbeya City3
Kinondoni MC2
W
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, Singida host Mbeya City in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Singida to win as the standout selection.

Singida arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mbeya City are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Singida, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Mbeya City's 0, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: singida to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.23 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 27 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Singida vs Mbeya City?
Our selection is 1 — Singida to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Singida's current form?
Singida have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mbeya City been performing recently?
Mbeya City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Singida lead with 4 wins versus Mbeya City's 0, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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