WON Tip WON Singida Black Stars 1-0 Namungo
Fixture Document · Type V
S

Singida Black Stars

Home Nation
W W L D W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
VS
1-0
N
Namungo
Away Nation
D L D L L
0W 4D 6L → Steady
MODERATE
49%
Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Singida Black Stars to win
Singida Black Stars 50%
Draw 30%
Namungo 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob70.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-21.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTS<<<<<<<B<<<<<S<<<<<<<N<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<EAE10141A4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 12 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
3
Singida Black Stars
3
Draws
3
Namungo
9
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
22%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Singida Black Stars won 3 of the last 9 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Singida Black Stars
Metric
Namungo
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 7.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.4%) 2-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Singida Black Stars Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Namungo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Singida Black Stars
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.3
Namungo
Overall
1.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.02.26LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
06.03.25LKB
Namungo0
Singida Black Stars1
20.10.24LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Namungo0
06.05.24LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Namungo0
23.11.23LKB
Namungo2
Singida Black Stars0
20.12.22LKB
Namungo2
Singida Black Stars0
19.08.22LKB
Singida Black Stars0
Namungo1
08.04.21LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
24.10.20LKB
Singida Black Stars0
Namungo0
Recent Form
Singida Black Stars
09.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars4
Mtibwa Sugar0
W
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
W
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
L
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
W
08.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Kinondoni MC0
W
05.04.26LKB
TRA United2
Singida Black Stars0
L
01.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Azam2
L
18.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Singida Black Stars2
W
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
W
Namungo
08.05.26LKB
Namungo0
Mashujaa0
D
05.05.26LKB
Azam1
Namungo0
L
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
L
12.04.26FAC
Namungo0
TRA United2
L
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
11.03.26LKB
TRA United2
Namungo0
L
26.02.26LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
D
22.02.26LKB
Namungo0
Young Africans1
L
14.02.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons3
Namungo2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Singida Black Stars host Namungo in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Singida Black Stars to win as the standout selection.

Singida Black Stars arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Namungo are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Singida Black Stars, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Namungo's 3, with 3 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: singida black stars to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.42 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 12 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Singida Black Stars vs Namungo?
Our selection is 1 — Singida Black Stars to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Singida Black Stars's current form?
Singida Black Stars have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Namungo been performing recently?
Namungo have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Singida Black Stars lead with 3 wins versus Namungo's 3, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
⚠️
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