WON Tip WON Noah 2-0 Van
Fixture Document · Type V
N

Noah

Home Nation
W W W D W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
V
Van
Away Nation
L W D L L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
VERIFIED
66%
Monday, 20th April 2026 Selection
1
Backing Noah to win
Noah 60%
Draw 20%
Van 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob90.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-24.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTN<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<9DA8428B74BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 20 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% Noah Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Noah vs Van Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Monday, 20th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Noah to win) Odds: 1.11 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Noah Clean Sheet (60%) Verification: 9DA8428B7
Head to Head
Record
6
Noah
3
Draws
1
Van
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Noah
Metric
Van
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
80%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
N0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.8%) 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Noah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Van Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Noah
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
Van
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.12.25Premier League
Van0
Noah0
24.09.25Premier League
Noah2
Van1
04.05.25Premier League
Van2
Noah2
30.04.25Armenian Cup
Van1
Noah0
16.04.25Armenian Cup
Noah2
Van0
20.10.24Premier League
Noah5
Van0
19.09.24Premier League
Van1
Noah1
11.04.24Premier League
Van0
Noah1
04.12.23Premier League
Noah3
Van1
30.09.23Premier League
Van0
Noah2
Recent Form
Noah
16.04.26Armenian Cup
Ararat-Armenia0
FC Noah1
W
10.04.26Premier League
Gandzasar0
FC Noah3
W
05.04.26Premier League
FC Noah2
BKMA0
W
01.04.26Armenian Cup
FC Noah2
Pyunik Yerevan2
D
22.03.26Premier League
FC Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
W
16.03.26Premier League
Shirak Gyumri0
FC Noah2
W
12.03.26Armenian Super Cup
FC Noah2
Ararat-Armenia1
W
08.03.26Premier League
BKMA0
FC Noah2
W
05.03.26Armenian Cup
Pyunik Yerevan1
FC Noah2
W
26.02.26Conference League
AZ Alkmaar4
FC Noah0
L
Van
10.04.26Premier League
FC Van1
Urartu2
L
04.04.26Premier League
Ararat Yerevan1
FC Van2
W
20.03.26Premier League
FC Van2
Ararat-Armenia2
D
16.03.26Premier League
Ararat-Armenia3
FC Van0
L
07.03.26Premier League
FC Van1
Ararat Yerevan2
L
21.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van1
Ararat Yerevan0
W
14.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van0
FC Gandzasar0
D
07.02.26Club Friendly
BKMA1
FC Van0
L
04.02.26Club Friendly
FC Van5
Hayq0
W
31.01.26Club Friendly
BKMA2
FC Van2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 20th April 2026, Noah host Van in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

Noah arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Van are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Noah, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Van's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Armenia Premier League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.11 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Van?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Van been performing recently?
Van have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 6 wins versus Van's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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