WON Tip WON Neman 2-1 Belshina
Fixture Document · Type V
N

Neman

Home Nation
D W W W D
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
2-1
B
Belshina
Away Nation
L L L L W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
53%
Saturday, 2nd May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Neman to win
Neman 50%
Draw 30%
Belshina 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-27.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTN<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<76F7B851B4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 3 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neman to win
1.24
Neman Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Neman vs Belshina Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Saturday, 2nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Neman to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 53% Also: Neman Clean Sheet (60%) Verification: 76F7B851B
Head to Head
Record
4
Neman
4
Draws
2
Belshina
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Neman won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neman
Metric
Belshina
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
N0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 16.7%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 14.6%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 8.5%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.7%) 2-0(14.6%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neman Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Belshina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Neman
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.3
Belshina
Overall
3.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.10.23VL
Neman3
Belshina1
20.05.23VL
Belshina0
Neman2
15.10.22VL
Belshina1
Neman0
29.05.22VL
Neman2
Belshina2
25.07.20VL
Belshina0
Neman1
10.04.20VL
Neman1
Belshina1
28.07.18CUP
Belshina3
Neman1
10.09.16VL
Neman1
Belshina0
07.05.16VL
Belshina1
Neman1
15.08.15VL
Belshina0
Neman0
Recent Form
Neman
24.04.26VL
Slavia Mozyr0
Neman0
D
18.04.26VL
Neman3
Naftan1
W
10.04.26VL
FC Minsk0
Neman1
W
04.04.26VL
Neman2
Vitebsk0
W
21.03.26VL
Neman0
BATE0
D
14.03.26CF
Neman7
Niva Dolbizno0
W
07.03.26CF
Neman3
Volna Pinsk1
W
07.03.26CF
Neman0
Baranovici0
D
28.02.26SC
ML Vitebsk2
Neman - W (aet)3
21.02.26CF
Neman3
Vitebsk1
W
Belshina
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
L
20.04.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Belshina0
L
10.04.26VL
Belshina1
Dnepr Mogilev2
L
04.04.26VL
Din. Minsk2
Belshina0
L
28.03.26CF
Belshina2
Osipovichi1
W
22.03.26VL
Belshina1
Dynamo Brest0
W
14.03.26CF
Belshina1
Slutsk1
D
28.02.26CF
BATE2
Belshina1
L
25.02.26CF
Slavia Mozyr1
Belshina0
L
14.02.26CF
Belshina1
FC Minsk0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 2nd May 2026, Neman host Belshina in Belarus Vysshaya Liga. We recommend Neman to win as the standout selection.

Neman arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Belshina are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Neman, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Belshina's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: neman to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.24 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 3 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neman vs Belshina?
Our selection is 1 — Neman to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Neman's current form?
Neman have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Belshina been performing recently?
Belshina have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neman lead with 4 wins versus Belshina's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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