LOST Tip LOST Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 Hertha Zehlendorf
Fixture Document · Type V
L

Lokomotive Leipzig

Home Nation
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
0-2
H
Hertha Zehlendorf
Away Nation
D L D L D
1W 4D 5L ▼ Declining
VERIFIED
65%
Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Selection
1
Backing Lokomotive Leipzig to win
Lokomotive Leipzig 60%
Draw 20%
Hertha Zehlendorf 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-13.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTL<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<49D3E831D4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 26 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lokomotive Leipzig to win
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf Competition: Ger. Regionalliga Nordost Date: Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Lokomotive Leipzig to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: 49D3E831D
Head to Head
Record
2
Lokomotive Leipzig
0
Draws
1
Hertha Zehlendorf
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lokomotive Leipzig won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lokomotive Leipzig
Metric
Hertha Zehlendorf
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
70%
10%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
L0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lokomotive Leipzig Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Hertha Zehlendorf Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lokomotive Leipzig
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.3
Hertha Zehlendorf
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.08.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Lokomotive Leipzig1
20.04.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf2
Lokomotive Leipzig1
25.10.24
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig2
Hertha Zehlendorf1
Recent Form
Lokomotive Leipzig
21.03.26
RL: Babelsberg1
Lokomotive Leipzig2
W
15.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig4
Hertha Berlin II0
W
08.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig1
Carl Zeiss Jena2
L
04.03.26
RL: Meuselwitz0
Lokomotive Leipzig1
W
28.02.26
RL: Luckenwalde0
Lokomotive Leipzig3
W
22.02.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig3
Eilenburg0
W
15.02.26
RL: Chemnitzer FC3
Lokomotive Leipzig0
L
16.01.26
CF: Fortuna Köln2
Lokomotive Leipzig2
D
14.01.26
CF: Lokomotive Leipzig3
RW Oberhausen1
W
12.12.25
RL: Altglienicke2
Lokomotive Leipzig3
W
Hertha Zehlendorf
22.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Eilenburg0
D
13.03.26
RL: Zwickau1
Hertha Zehlendorf0
L
08.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Luckenwalde1
D
04.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Hallescher4
L
01.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Meuselwitz1
D
24.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Hansa Rostock II1
L
21.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf4
Makkabi Berlin1
W
17.01.26
CF: Klosterfelde4
Hertha Zehlendorf2
L
06.12.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Altglienicke3
L
30.11.25
RL: Greifswald1
Hertha Zehlendorf1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Lokomotive Leipzig host Hertha Zehlendorf in Ger. Regionalliga Nordost. We recommend Lokomotive Leipzig to win as the standout selection.

Lokomotive Leipzig arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hertha Zehlendorf are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lokomotive Leipzig, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: lokomotive leipzig to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Ger. Regionalliga Nordost clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data.

The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds. While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back.

The traveling squad demands a very careful review too. We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today.

Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook. Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear.

Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.28 odds. As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate.

Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 26 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
Our selection is 1 — Lokomotive Leipzig to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Lokomotive Leipzig's current form?
Lokomotive Leipzig have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hertha Zehlendorf been performing recently?
Hertha Zehlendorf have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lokomotive Leipzig lead with 2 wins versus Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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