WON Tip WON Hertha Zehlendorf 0-3 Jena
Fixture Document · Type V
H

Hertha Zehlendorf

Home Nation
W D L D L
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
0-3
J
Jena
Away Nation
L L W D L
3W 2D 5L → Steady
VERIFIED
80%
Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob65.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+14.6%Value detected
Kelly %42.3%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTH<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<2378D22CF4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 1 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.53
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Jena Competition: Germany Regionalliga Nordost Date: Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.53 Confidence: 80% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Verification: 2378D22CF
Head to Head
Record
0
Hertha Zehlendorf
1
Draws
2
Jena
3
Meetings
5.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hertha Zehlendorf
Metric
Jena
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.1
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
2-3-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
20%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.8%) 2-1(8.9%) 1-2(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hertha Zehlendorf
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Jena
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.08.25
RL: Carl Zeiss Jena4
Hertha Zehlendorf0
12.03.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf2
Carl Zeiss Jena2
04.08.24
RL: Carl Zeiss Jena6
Hertha Zehlendorf2
Recent Form
Hertha Zehlendorf
25.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig0
Hertha Zehlendorf2
W
22.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Eilenburg0
D
13.03.26
RL: Zwickau1
Hertha Zehlendorf0
L
08.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Luckenwalde1
D
04.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Hallescher4
L
01.03.26
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Meuselwitz1
D
24.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf0
Hansa Rostock II1
L
21.01.26
CF: Hertha Zehlendorf4
Makkabi Berlin1
W
17.01.26
CF: Klosterfelde4
Hertha Zehlendorf2
L
06.12.25
RL: Hertha Zehlendorf1
Altglienicke3
L
Jena
22.03.26
RL: Chemnitzer FC4
Carl Zeiss Jena1
L
13.03.26
RL: Carl Zeiss Jena1
Meuselwitz2
L
08.03.26
RL: Lokomotive Leipzig1
Carl Zeiss Jena2
W
03.03.26
RL: Carl Zeiss Jena0
Altglienicke0
D
27.02.26
RL: Eilenburg2
Carl Zeiss Jena1
L
21.02.26
RL: Carl Zeiss Jena2
Chemie Leipzig1
W
01.02.26
CF: Carl Zeiss Jena1
Halberstadt1
D
24.01.26
CF: Hannover II6
Carl Zeiss Jena2
L
21.01.26
CF: Carl Zeiss Jena3
Plauen2
W
17.01.26
CF: FSV Frankfurt2
Carl Zeiss Jena0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Hertha Zehlendorf host Jena in Germany Regionalliga Nordost. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Hertha Zehlendorf arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jena are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hertha Zehlendorf, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Jena's 2, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Germany Regionalliga Nordost clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is Over 2.5, taking full advantage of the current @1.53 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Jena?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Hertha Zehlendorf's current form?
Hertha Zehlendorf have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jena been performing recently?
Jena have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hertha Zehlendorf lead with 0 wins versus Jena's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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