WON Tip WON Harrach 1-0 JSM Tiarat
Fixture Document · Type V
H

Harrach

Home Nation
D W D W W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
1-0
J
JSM Tiarat
Away Nation
W L W W L
5W 1D 4L → Steady
MODERATE
59%
Saturday, 28th March 2026 Selection
1
Backing Harrach to win
Harrach 50%
Draw 30%
JSM Tiarat 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-19.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTH<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<JSM<T<<<<<<<<<<<<11B563BDC4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 28 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Harrach to win
1.27
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Harrach vs JSM Tiarat Competition: Algeria Ligue 2 Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Harrach to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Verification: 11B563BDC
Head to Head
Record
5
Harrach
2
Draws
0
JSM Tiarat
7
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Harrach won 5 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Harrach
Metric
JSM Tiarat
1.8
Goals For / Game
0
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
1.3
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
H0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 10.0%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 25.8%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 1.6%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 0.7%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 1.2%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(25.8%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(4.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Harrach Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
JSM Tiarat Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Harrach
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
JSM Tiarat
Overall
5.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.11.25
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach2
12.03.22
L2: JSM Tiaret1
USM El Harrach0
29.11.21
L2: USM El Harrach0
JSM Tiaret0
25.01.07
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach2
31.08.06
L2: USM El Harrach3
JSM Tiaret0
14.04.06
L2: USM El Harrach3
JSM Tiaret0
11.11.05
L2: JSM Tiaret0
USM El Harrach3
Recent Form
Harrach
14.03.26
L2: WA Tlemcen0
USM El Harrach0
D
07.03.26
L2: USM El Harrach1
NA Hussein Dey0
W
28.02.26
L2: JS El Biar1
USM El Harrach1
D
17.02.26
L2: USM El Harrach2
CR Témouchent0
W
13.02.26
L2: CRB Adrar0
USM El Harrach4
W
07.02.26
L2: USM El Harrach2
RC Kouba1
W
24.01.26
L2: US Béchar Djedid0
USM El Harrach0
D
20.01.26
L2: MC Saïda1
USM El Harrach3
W
12.01.26
CUP: USM El Harrach2
USM Alger (AET)3
L
03.01.26
L2: WA Mostaganem1
USM El Harrach3
W
JSM Tiarat
14.03.26
L2: JSM Tiaret2
GC Mascara1
W
07.03.26
L2: ASM Oran1
JSM Tiaret0
L
28.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret4
JS Tixeraine1
W
17.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret3
WA Tlemcen0
W
13.02.26
L2: RC Arbaâ2
JSM Tiaret1
L
07.02.26
L2: JSM Tiaret1
NA Hussein Dey0
W
24.01.26
L2: ESM Koléa0
JSM Tiaret0
D
17.01.26
L2: JSM Tiaret0
JS El Biar1
L
03.01.26
L2: JSM Tiaret1
US Béchar Djedid0
W
27.12.25
L2: CR Témouchent2
JSM Tiaret1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Harrach host JSM Tiarat in Algeria Ligue 2. We recommend Harrach to win as the standout selection.

Harrach arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JSM Tiarat are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Harrach, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to JSM Tiarat's 0, with 2 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: harrach to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Algeria Ligue 2 clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.27 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 28 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Harrach vs JSM Tiarat?
Our selection is 1 — Harrach to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Harrach's current form?
Harrach have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has JSM Tiarat been performing recently?
JSM Tiarat have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Harrach lead with 5 wins versus JSM Tiarat's 0, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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