LOST Tip LOST FAR Rabat 1-1 Olympique de Safi
Fixture Document · Type V
F

FAR Rabat

Home Nation
D W D D L
4W 5D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
O
Olympique de Safi
Away Nation
L L D L D
0W 6D 4L → Steady
CAUTION
42%
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing FAR Rabat to win
FAR Rabat 50%
Draw 30%
Olympique de Safi 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob72.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-30.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTFAR<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<ECE96E82B4BTT2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FAR Rabat to win
1.38
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FAR Rabat vs Olympique de Safi Competition: Morocco Botola Pro Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 1 (FAR Rabat to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 42% Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Verification: ECE96E82B
Head to Head
Record
3
FAR Rabat
6
Draws
1
Olympique de Safi
10
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Tip FAR Rabat won 3 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FAR Rabat
Metric
Olympique de Safi
1.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-5-1
W — D — L
0-6-4
Win Rate
40%
0%
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
F0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(9.8%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FAR Rabat Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Olympique de Safi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FAR Rabat
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Olympique de Safi
Overall
1.8
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 41%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 26%
Draw & Under 2.5 32%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat3
09.08.25CF
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi0
28.02.25BOT
Olympique de Safi1
FAR Rabat1
26.10.24BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
16.03.24BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi0
11.11.23BOT
Olympique de Safi1
FAR Rabat0
12.03.23BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat0
18.10.22BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
19.06.22BOT
Olympique de Safi0
FAR Rabat0
20.11.21BOT
FAR Rabat1
Olympique de Safi1
Recent Form
FAR Rabat
03.05.26BOT
IR Tanger0
FAR Rabat0
D
30.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Raja Casablanca1
W
26.04.26BOT
Yacoub El Mansour2
FAR Rabat2
D
22.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat0
Berkane0
D
18.04.26CL
Berkane1
FAR Rabat0
L
11.04.26CL
FAR Rabat2
Berkane0
W
05.04.26BOT
Kawkab Marrakech0
FAR Rabat0
D
02.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat3
Dcheira2
W
21.03.26CL
Pyramids1
FAR Rabat2
W
13.03.26CL
FAR Rabat1
Pyramids1
D
Olympique de Safi
04.05.26BOT
Hassania Agadir2
Olympique de Safi1
L
29.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
IR Tanger2
L
25.04.26BOT
Union Touarga1
Olympique de Safi1
D
22.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Renaissance Zemamra3
L
19.04.26CON
Olympique de Safi1
USM Alger1
D
11.04.26CON
USM Alger0
Olympique de Safi0
D
04.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Yacoub El Mansour3
W
01.04.26BOT
Olympique de Safi1
Berkane1
D
22.03.26CON
Wydad AC2
Olympique de Safi2
D
15.03.26CON
Olympique de Safi1
Wydad AC1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, FAR Rabat host Olympique de Safi in Morocco Botola Pro. We recommend FAR Rabat to win as the standout selection.

FAR Rabat arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Olympique de Safi are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 6D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FAR Rabat, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Olympique de Safi's 1, with 6 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: far rabat to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Morocco Botola Pro clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.38 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FAR Rabat vs Olympique de Safi?
Our selection is 1 — FAR Rabat to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 42%.
What is FAR Rabat's current form?
FAR Rabat have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Olympique de Safi been performing recently?
Olympique de Safi have recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FAR Rabat lead with 3 wins versus Olympique de Safi's 1, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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