LOST Tip LOST Deportivo Riestra 2 2-2 San Martin 2
Fixture Document · Type V
D

Deportivo Riestra 2

Home Nation
W D L W L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
2-2
S
San Martin 2
Away Nation
L L L W L
2W 0D 8L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
50%
Thursday, 14th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Deportivo Riestra 2 to win
Deportivo Riestra 2 50%
Draw 30%
San Martin 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob81.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-31.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTD<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<2<<<S<<<M<<<<<<2<<<<<658E1EDDF4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 15 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Deportivo Riestra 2 to win
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Deportivo Riestra 2 vs San Martin 2 Competition: Argentina Reserve League Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Deportivo Riestra 2 to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: 658E1EDDF
Head to Head
Record
1
Deportivo Riestra 2
0
Draws
1
San Martin 2
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Deportivo Riestra 2 won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Deportivo Riestra 2
Metric
San Martin 2
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
3.5
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
D0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 2.6%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 6.9%
1-2 3.3%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 8.5%
3-1 8.1%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 5.6%
4-1 5.3%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 3.0%
5-1 2.8%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.6%) 2-1(9.1%) 3-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Deportivo Riestra 2 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
San Martin 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Deportivo Riestra 2
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
San Martin 2
Overall
2.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.07.25RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Deportivo Riestra 20
27.02.25RL
Deportivo Riestra 22
San Martin S.J. 21
Recent Form
Deportivo Riestra 2
07.05.26RL
Ind. Rivadavia 22
Deportivo Riestra 23
W
30.04.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 21
Colon Santa Fe 21
D
23.04.26RL
Barracas Central 21
Deportivo Riestra 20
L
15.04.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 23
Belgrano 20
W
07.04.26RL
Lanus 23
Deportivo Riestra 22
L
31.03.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 20
Newells Old Boys 21
L
26.03.26RL
Defensa y Justicia 21
Deportivo Riestra 21
D
18.03.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 23
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20
W
04.03.26RL
Huracan 20
Deportivo Riestra 21
W
17.02.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 24
Ferro 20
W
San Martin 2
07.05.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Belgrano 22
L
29.04.26RL
Lanus 26
San Martin S.J. 21
L
22.04.26RL
Godoy Cruz 21
San Martin S.J. 20
L
14.04.26RL
San Martin S.J. 22
Newells Old Boys 21
W
08.04.26RL
Defensa y Justicia 28
San Martin S.J. 20
L
01.04.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22
L
26.03.26RL
Huracan 26
San Martin S.J. 21
L
19.03.26RL
San Martin S.J. 22
Ferro 21
W
03.03.26RL
Boca Juniors 24
San Martin S.J. 21
L
18.02.26RL
San Martin S.J. 21
Independiente 24
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 14th May 2026, Deportivo Riestra 2 host San Martin 2 in Argentina Reserve League. We recommend Deportivo Riestra 2 to win as the standout selection.

Deportivo Riestra 2 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

San Martin 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Deportivo Riestra 2, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to San Martin 2's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: deportivo riestra 2 to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Argentina Reserve League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.23 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 15 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Deportivo Riestra 2 vs San Martin 2?
Our selection is 1 — Deportivo Riestra 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Deportivo Riestra 2's current form?
Deportivo Riestra 2 have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Martin 2 been performing recently?
San Martin 2 have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Deportivo Riestra 2 lead with 1 wins versus San Martin 2's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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