Fixture Document · Type V
C

Cleveland Force

Home Nation
L L L W L
3W 0D 7L → Steady
VS
11:00 pm
N/A
S
Steel City
Away Nation
W D W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VERIFIED
67%
Wednesday, 8th July 2026 Selection
2
Backing Steel City to win
Cleveland Force 20%
Draw 20%
Steel City 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob81.3%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-14.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTC<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<F37AC863D4BTT2607082M2607089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 8 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Steel City to win
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Steel City Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cleveland Force vs Steel City Competition: USA USL League Two Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026 KO: 11:00 pm Pick: 2 (Steel City to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Steel City Clean Sheet (60%) Verification: F37AC863D
Head to Head
Record
0
Cleveland Force
0
Draws
3
Steel City
3
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Steel City won 3 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cleveland Force
Metric
Steel City
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.7
3.4
Goals Against / Game
0.4
0%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-0-7
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
30%
60%
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 3.9%
0-5 2.0%
C1
1-0 2.8%
1-1 7.1%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.7%
1-4 4.9%
1-5 2.5%
C2
2-0 1.8%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 4.8%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.6%
C3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.7%
C4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(9.1%) 1-3(7.7%) 0-2(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cleveland Force Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Steel City Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cleveland Force
Overall
3.0
Scoring
7.0
Defence
0.0
Steel City
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.07.26USL2
Steel City3
Cleveland Force1
13.07.25USL2
Cleveland Force1
Steel City3
06.06.25USL2
Steel City2
Cleveland Force0
Recent Form
Cleveland Force
01.07.26USL2
Steel City3
Cleveland Force1
L
24.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force1
Buffalo7
L
20.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force0
Lorain County Leviathan5
L
16.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force4
Erie Sports Center3
W
13.06.26USL2
Buffalo4
Cleveland Force2
L
09.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force1
Akron City3
L
06.06.26USL2
Erie Sports Center1
Cleveland Force4
W
04.06.26USL2
Lorain County Leviathan3
Cleveland Force1
L
31.05.26USL2
Cleveland Force3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 24
L
21.05.26USL2
Akron City1
Cleveland Force4
W
Steel City
01.07.26USL2
Steel City3
Cleveland Force1
W
27.06.26USL2
Buffalo1
Steel City1
D
25.06.26USL2
Erie Sports Center1
Steel City3
W
21.06.26USL2
Akron City0
Steel City1
W
13.06.26USL2
Steel City4
Erie Sports Center0
W
10.06.26USL2
Steel City0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20
D
06.06.26USL2
Steel City3
Buffalo0
W
30.05.26USL2
Steel City1
Akron City0
W
28.05.26USL2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20
Steel City2
W
20.05.26USL2
Steel City0
Lorain County Leviathan0
D
Cleveland Force (Home)
24.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force1
Buffalo7
L
20.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force0
Lorain County Leviathan5
L
16.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force4
Erie Sports Center3
W
09.06.26USL2
Cleveland Force1
Akron City3
L
31.05.26USL2
Cleveland Force3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 24
L
13.07.25USL2
Cleveland Force1
Steel City3
L
28.06.25USL2
Cleveland Force2
Erie Sports Center5
L
26.06.25USL2
Cleveland Force0
Akron City2
L
11.06.25USL2
Cleveland Force0
Toledo Villa1
L
27.05.25USL2
Cleveland Force0
Buffalo1
L
Steel City (Away)
27.06.26USL2
Buffalo1
Steel City1
D
25.06.26USL2
Erie Sports Center1
Steel City3
W
21.06.26USL2
Akron City0
Steel City1
W
28.05.26USL2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20
Steel City2
W
26.03.26USO
Pittsburgh2
Steel City1
L
19.07.25USL2
Flint City4
Steel City3
L
13.07.25USL2
Cleveland Force1
Steel City3
W
26.06.25USL2
Buffalo1
Steel City4
W
20.06.25USL2
Toledo Villa2
Steel City3
W
29.05.25USL2
Toledo Villa2
Steel City1
L
24.05.25USL2
Erie Sports Center1
Steel City2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Cleveland Force host Steel City at N/A in USA USL League Two. We recommend Steel City to win as the standout selection.

Cleveland Force arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Steel City are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cleveland Force, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Steel City's 3, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: steel city to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this USA USL League Two preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 2 at @1.23, which the model rates around 20,20,60%. Kick-off is 11:00 pm.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 8 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cleveland Force vs Steel City?
Our selection is 2 — Steel City to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Cleveland Force's current form?
Cleveland Force have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Steel City been performing recently?
Steel City have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cleveland Force lead with 0 wins versus Steel City's 3, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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