LOST Tip LOST Chengdu Rongcheng 0-1 Shanghai Port
Fixture Document · Type V
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home Nation
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
0-1
S
Shanghai Port
Away Nation
D D D L W
2W 4D 4L → Steady
MODERATE
62%
Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win
Chengdu Rongcheng 50%
Draw 30%
Shanghai Port 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob66.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-4.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTC<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<C2CABB0BC4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 20 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Port Competition: China Super League Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Chengdu Rongcheng to win) Odds: 1.50 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: C2CABB0BC
Head to Head
Record
5
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
Draws
4
Shanghai Port
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Chengdu Rongcheng won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Shanghai Port
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
90%
20%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(8.6%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shanghai Port Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
Shanghai Port
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Shanghai Port1
20.04.25SL
Shanghai Port1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
18.10.24SL
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Shanghai Port1
22.05.24SL
Shanghai Port2
Chengdu Rongcheng0
23.09.23SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Shanghai Port1
03.06.23SL
Shanghai Port0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
08.01.23FAC
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port4
05.01.23FAC
Shanghai Port4
Chengdu Rongcheng0
10.12.22SL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port0
29.09.22SL
Shanghai Port3
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
15.05.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
09.05.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Henan Songshan Longmen0
W
05.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
01.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
W
25.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Zhejiang Professional0
W
21.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
17.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
12.04.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
03.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast1
W
21.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
D
Shanghai Port
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
D
10.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
D
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
D
02.05.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port1
L
25.04.26SL
Shanghai Port4
Wuhan Three Towns0
W
21.04.26SL
Shanghai Port1
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
L
17.04.26SL
Shandong Taishan1
Shanghai Port1
D
11.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shanghai Port0
L
04.04.26SL
Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
20.03.26SL
Dalian Yingbo1
Shanghai Port0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 19th May 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Shanghai Port in China Super League. We recommend Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shanghai Port are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Shanghai Port's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming China Super League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.50 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 20 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Port?
Our selection is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shanghai Port been performing recently?
Shanghai Port have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 5 wins versus Shanghai Port's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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