Fixture Document · Type V
B

Barra FC U20

Home Nation
L W L D W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
7:00 pm
N/A
C
Carlos Renaux U20
Away Nation
D L W W L
3W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
VERIFIED
66%
Monday, 13th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Barra FC U20 to win
Barra FC U20 50%
Draw 30%
Carlos Renaux U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob79.4%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-13.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTB<<<<<FC<U20<<<<<<<<<<C<<<<<<R<<<<<<U204259D77B74BTT2607132M2607139<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 13 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Barra FC U20
0
Draws
0
Carlos Renaux U20
1
Meetings
7
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Barra FC U20 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Barra FC U20
Metric
Carlos Renaux U20
2.4
Goals For / Game
1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
18%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-3-5
Win Rate
70%
27%
3.2
Avg Goals
76%
Over 1.5
62%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
B0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.4%) 1-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Barra FC U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Carlos Renaux U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Barra FC U20
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.3
Carlos Renaux U20
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U201
Barra FC U206
Recent Form
Barra FC U20
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
L
04.07.26CAT
Barra FC U203
Brusque U200
W
27.06.26CAT
Figueirense U203
Barra FC U202
L
13.06.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Avai U202
D
01.06.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Nacao U201
W
27.05.26CAT
Joinville U200
Barra FC U202
W
19.05.26CAT
Barra FC U201
Concordia U200
W
16.05.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Chapecoense-SC U200
W
03.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U201
Barra FC U206
W
26.04.26CAT
Brusque U202
Barra FC U203
W
Carlos Renaux U20
05.07.26CAT
Avai U201
Carlos Renaux U201
D
28.06.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U202
Chapecoense-SC U204
L
21.06.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U203
Concordia U202
W
12.06.26CAT
Nacao U201
Carlos Renaux U202
W
29.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U200
Joinville U201
L
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
15.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U200
Figueirense U200
D
08.05.26CAT
Brusque U201
Carlos Renaux U202
W
03.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U201
Barra FC U206
L
26.04.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U200
Avai U205
L
19.04.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U201
Carlos Renaux U200
L
Barra FC U20 (Home)
04.07.26CAT
Barra FC U203
Brusque U200
W
13.06.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Avai U202
D
01.06.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Nacao U201
W
19.05.26CAT
Barra FC U201
Concordia U200
W
16.05.26CAT
Barra FC U202
Chapecoense-SC U200
W
18.04.26CAT
Barra FC U204
Figueirense U202
W
Carlos Renaux U20 (Away)
05.07.26CAT
Avai U201
Carlos Renaux U201
D
12.06.26CAT
Nacao U201
Carlos Renaux U202
W
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
08.05.26CAT
Brusque U201
Carlos Renaux U202
W
19.04.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U201
Carlos Renaux U200
L
11.04.26CAT
Concordia U201
Carlos Renaux U200
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Barra FC U20 host Carlos Renaux U20 at N/A in Brazil Catarinense U20. We recommend Barra FC U20 to win as the standout selection.

Barra FC U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Carlos Renaux U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 5L across 11 matches.

Historical meetings favour Barra FC U20, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Carlos Renaux U20's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: barra fc u20 to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this Brazil Catarinense U20 preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 1 at @1.26, which the model rates around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 7:00 pm.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 13 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20?
Our selection is 1 — Barra FC U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Barra FC U20's current form?
Barra FC U20 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Carlos Renaux U20 been performing recently?
Carlos Renaux U20 have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 11 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Barra FC U20 lead with 1 wins versus Carlos Renaux U20's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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