WON Tip WON Ararat Armenia 1-0 FC Gandzasar
Fixture Document · Type V
A

Ararat Armenia

Home Nation
W L W W D
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
1-0
F
FC Gandzasar
Away Nation
L L L L W
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
VERIFIED
67%
Wednesday, 27th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Ararat Armenia to win
Ararat Armenia 60%
Draw 20%
FC Gandzasar 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob90.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-23.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTA<<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<FC<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<6E052DC524BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 27 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ararat Armenia to win
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ararat Armenia vs FC Gandzasar Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Wednesday, 27th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Ararat Armenia to win) Odds: 1.11 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: 6E052DC52
Head to Head
Record
6
Ararat Armenia
0
Draws
0
FC Gandzasar
6
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ararat Armenia won 6 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ararat Armenia
Metric
FC Gandzasar
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.1
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
A0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 9.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 8.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(9.4%) 2-0(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ararat Armenia Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
FC Gandzasar Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ararat Armenia
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
FC Gandzasar
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.10.25PL
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia1
05.10.25PL
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
25.04.25PL
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia4
21.11.24PL
Ararat-Armenia3
FC Gandzasar0
14.09.24PL
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia3
24.11.23CUP
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
Recent Form
Ararat Armenia
17.05.26PL
BKMA2
Ararat-Armenia3
W
10.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah4
L
06.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia1
Pyunik Yerevan0
W
03.05.26PL
Urartu0
Ararat-Armenia2
W
29.04.26CUP
Noah0
Ararat-Armenia0
D
25.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat Yerevan0
W
20.04.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia4
W
16.04.26CUP
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah1
L
11.04.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan0
Ararat-Armenia2
W
06.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia1
Alashkert1
D
FC Gandzasar
18.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Pyunik Yerevan2
L
09.05.26PL
Alashkert3
FC Gandzasar1
L
06.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
L
02.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Van1
L
26.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar3
Shirak Gyumri2
W
19.04.26PL
BKMA1
FC Gandzasar1
D
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
L
05.04.26PL
Urartu4
FC Gandzasar2
L
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
W
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 27th May 2026, Ararat Armenia host FC Gandzasar in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Ararat Armenia to win as the standout selection.

Ararat Armenia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FC Gandzasar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ararat Armenia, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to FC Gandzasar's 0, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ararat armenia to win at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Armenia Premier League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.11 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 27 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ararat Armenia vs FC Gandzasar?
Our selection is 1 — Ararat Armenia to win, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Ararat Armenia's current form?
Ararat Armenia have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has FC Gandzasar been performing recently?
FC Gandzasar have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ararat Armenia lead with 6 wins versus FC Gandzasar's 0, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. BetTipsToday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.