WON Tip WON Al Wasl 2-1 Ittihad Kalba
Fixture Document · Type V
A

Al Wasl

Home Nation
W W W L W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
I
Ittihad Kalba
Away Nation
L D L D D
1W 5D 4L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
47%
Friday, 15th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Al Wasl to win
Al Wasl 50%
Draw 30%
Ittihad Kalba 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-28.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTA<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<EA03EDA034BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 16 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Wasl to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba Competition: UAE League Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Wasl to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%) Verification: EA03EDA03
Head to Head
Record
4
Al Wasl
6
Draws
0
Ittihad Kalba
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Wasl won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Wasl
Metric
Ittihad Kalba
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.9
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-1-4
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
50%
10%
3.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
A0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
A1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
A2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
A3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-0(6.6%) 2-0(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Wasl Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ittihad Kalba Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Wasl
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.3
Ittihad Kalba
Overall
2.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 25%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.01.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba2
Al Wasl2
30.01.25LEA
Al Wasl1
Ittihad Kalba1
26.01.25PC
Al Wasl2
Ittihad Kalba0
23.08.24LEA
Ittihad Kalba2
Al Wasl2
21.05.24LEA
Ittihad Kalba2
Al Wasl4
30.04.24PC
Al Wasl4
Ittihad Kalba1
16.12.23LEA
Al Wasl2
Ittihad Kalba1
18.03.23LEA
Ittihad Kalba1
Al Wasl1
23.10.22LEA
Al Wasl2
Ittihad Kalba2
05.03.22LEA
Al Wasl1
Ittihad Kalba1
Recent Form
Al Wasl
11.05.26LEA
Al Jazira1
Al Wasl2
W
06.05.26LEA
Al Wahda2
Al Wasl3
W
24.04.26LEA
Al Wasl4
Dibba Al Fujairah2
W
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
L
11.04.26LEA
Ajman1
Al Wasl3
W
05.04.26LEA
Al Sharjah2
Al Wasl1
L
18.03.26LEA
Al Wasl3
Al Dhafra0
W
12.03.26LEA
Al Ain2
Al Wasl0
L
07.03.26LEA
Bani Yas2
Al Wasl0
L
25.02.26LEA
Al Wasl1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
D
Ittihad Kalba
11.05.26LEA
Al Nasr2
Ittihad Kalba1
L
05.05.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba0
Khorfakkan0
D
23.04.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba1
Bani Yas2
L
09.04.26LEA
Al Wahda2
Ittihad Kalba2
D
04.04.26LEA
Al Bataeh2
Ittihad Kalba2
D
17.03.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba2
Al Sharjah2
D
11.03.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai5
Ittihad Kalba1
L
26.02.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba1
Al Dhafra1
D
21.02.26LEA
Ittihad Kalba2
Dibba Al Fujairah1
W
13.02.26LEA
Al Jazira2
Ittihad Kalba1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Al Wasl host Ittihad Kalba in UAE League. We recommend Al Wasl to win as the standout selection.

Al Wasl arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ittihad Kalba are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Wasl, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Ittihad Kalba's 0, with 6 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al wasl to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming UAE League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.33 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 16 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba?
Our selection is 1 — Al Wasl to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Al Wasl's current form?
Al Wasl have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ittihad Kalba been performing recently?
Ittihad Kalba have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Wasl lead with 4 wins versus Ittihad Kalba's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
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