WON Tip WON Al Jeel 2-1 Jubbah
Fixture Document · Type V
A

Al Jeel

Home Nation
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
J
Jubbah
Away Nation
D W L L D
5W 2D 3L → Steady
MODERATE
53%
Saturday, 28th March 2026 Selection
1
Backing Al Jeel to win
Al Jeel 60%
Draw 20%
Jubbah 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.7%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-25.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTA<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<FAC57AC294BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 28 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Al Jeel
1
Draws
0
Jubbah
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Jeel won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Jeel
Metric
Jubbah
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
A0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 6.9%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(7.7%) 2-0(5.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Jeel Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Jubbah Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Jeel
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
Jubbah
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.12.25
D2: Jubbah0
Al-Jeel0
Recent Form
Al Jeel
24.03.26
D2: Al-Jeel1
Najran0
W
14.03.26
D2: Jerash2
Al-Jeel3
W
27.02.26
D2: Al-Shoulla1
Al-Jeel2
W
21.02.26
D2: Al-Jeel2
Al-Rawdah1
W
16.02.26
D2: Al-Taraji1
Al-Jeel2
W
11.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd2
Al-Jeel3
W
06.02.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Ain0
D
31.01.26
D2: Tuwaiq0
Al-Jeel1
W
25.01.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Sahel2
L
20.01.26
D2: Al-Jeel0
Al-Washm1
L
Jubbah
24.03.26
D2: Al-Sahel1
Jubbah1
D
14.03.26
D2: Jubbah3
Al-Sharq1
W
27.02.26
D2: Tuwaiq2
Jubbah0
L
21.02.26
D2: Jubbah1
Al Taraji2
L
16.02.26
D2: Al Rawdah0
Jubbah0
D
11.02.26
D2: Jubbah2
Al Najoom0
W
06.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd0
Jubbah1
W
31.01.26
D2: Jubbah1
Al-Shoalah0
W
25.01.26
D2: Al-Washm4
Jubbah3
L
20.01.26
D2: Jubbah4
Al Entesar0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Al Jeel host Jubbah in Saudi Division 2. We recommend Al Jeel to win as the standout selection.

Al Jeel arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jubbah are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Jeel, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Jubbah's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al jeel to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Saudi Division 2 clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.27 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 28 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Jeel vs Jubbah?
Our selection is 1 — Al Jeel to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Al Jeel's current form?
Al Jeel have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jubbah been performing recently?
Jubbah have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Jeel lead with 0 wins versus Jubbah's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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