Must Win Teams Today

Must Win Teams Today



Today's Picks
Ranked by probability • Fri 10 Jul
PRIME
Leiknir vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
90%
prob
PRIME
Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Victoria 11:15 am
90%
prob
PRIME
Dandenong City vs South Melbourne
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Victoria 10:45 am
80%
prob
SOLID
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19
1 Russia Youth League 11:00 am
50%
prob
SOLID
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1 Argentina Primera B 6:00 pm
50%
prob
SPEC
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2 Russia Youth League 3:00 pm
20%
prob
SPEC
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2 Euro U19 Women 5:00 pm
20%
prob

Intelligence Feed
Friday • Site avg 78.5% • Data-derived, no guesswork
Leiknir vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
79
BACK IT
We have this one at 90% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here.
Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Victoria 11:15 am
79
BACK IT
We have this one at 90% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here.
Dandenong City vs South Melbourne
Over 2.5 Australia NPL Victoria 10:45 am
75
BACK IT
We have this one at 80% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here.
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19
1 Russia Youth League 11:00 am
68
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos
1 Argentina Primera B 6:00 pm
68
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19
2 Russia Youth League 3:00 pm
57
MARGINAL
At 20%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.
Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
2 Euro U19 Women 5:00 pm
57
MARGINAL
At 20%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly.

Scores derived from 90-day historical data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.



Scoreboard
Last 30 days • 177 calls tracked
78.5%
Elite Form
Correct picks 139 — 78.5%
Incorrect picks 38 — 21.5%
139
Correct
38
Incorrect
177
Total Calls
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Competition Breakdown
Last 30 Days
# CompetitionGradedCorrectMissedAccuracyTrack
🥇 Argentina Primera Women 4 4 0 100%
🥈 Copa Chile 2 2 0 100%
🥉 USA USL League Two 3 3 0 100%
4 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 3 3 0 100%
5 Russia FNL 2 - Div B 3 3 0 100%
6 Russia FNL 2 2 2 0 100%
7 International Friendly 2 2 0 100%
8 Finland Kakkonen C 3 3 0 100%
9 Finland Kakkonen A 2 2 0 100%
10 Argentina Reserve League 2 2 0 100%
11 Euro U19 3 3 0 100%
12 Estonia Esiliiga 2 2 0 100%
13 Euro U19 Women 2 2 0 100%
14 Brazil Catarinense U20 2 2 0 100%
15 Australia NPL Queensland 3 3 0 100%
16 China SL Women 3 3 0 100%
17 Chile Primera Division Women 2 2 0 100%
18 Brazil Paulista U20 2 2 0 100%
19 Belarus Cup 2 2 0 100%
20 Latvia Virsliga 6 5 1 83.3%
21 World Cup 2026 22 18 4 81.8%
22 Brasileiro U20 5 4 1 80%
23 Finland Veikkausliiga 5 4 1 80%
24 Iceland Besta deild karla 3 2 1 66.7%
25 Iceland Besta deild Women 3 2 1 66.7%
26 Kuwait Premier League 3 2 1 66.7%
27 Lithuania 1 Lyga 3 2 1 66.7%
28 Club Friendly 8 5 3 62.5%
29 Finland Suomen Cup 2 1 1 50%
30 Morocco Botola Pro 2 1 1 50%
31 Sweden D2 Norrland 2 1 1 50%
32 Brazil Paulista B 2 1 1 50%
33 Conference League Qualifier 2 1 1 50%
34 Belarus Vysshaya Liga 3 1 2 33.3%
35 Estonia Meistriliiga 3 1 2 33.3%
Competitions with fewer than 2 graded tips not shown

Market Accuracy
How each market type is performing
X2 Top market
3W  /  0L  • 3
100%
1 Top market
76W  /  17L  • 93
81.7%
1X Top market
13W  /  3L  • 16
81.3%
2 Top market
20W  /  6L  • 26
76.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
13W  /  4L  • 17
76.5%
Over 1.5 Performing
14W  /  8L  • 22
63.6%

Edge Calculator

Paste any bookmaker price and your estimated probability to instantly see whether the market is giving you edge or taking it from you.

Bookie Price (@)
Your Probability (%)

Form Matrix
Win rate by market × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Overall
1 78% 86% 79% 73% 76% 77% 72% 77%
1X 58% 100% 78% 88% 75% 100% 81%
2 50% 86% 85% 69% 56% 73% 80% 72%
BTTS
Over 1.5 60% 58% 56% 73% 100% 100% 68%
Over 2.5 75% 67% 67% 64% 71% 77% 80% 71%
X2 67% 100% 80%
Key: <40% 40-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

Heat Check
Recent 7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • Hottest leagues first
Club Friendly
0%baseline: 62.5%100%
66.7%
now
+4.2pp
Brasileiro U20
0%baseline: 80%100%
80%
now
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline: 80%100%
80%
now
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline: 83.3%100%
83.3%
now
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline: 81.8%100%
75%
now
-6.8pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. White marker = baseline.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where we publish most confidently • last 90 days

Each market is ranked by two signals at once: how often we publish it (volume depth) and how often it wins (accuracy). High depth + high accuracy = our most trusted markets.

1
1
Volume 315 tips
Accuracy 77.5%
We publish this a lot and it delivers. Core market.
HIGH 244W / 71L
2
2
Volume 74 tips
Accuracy 75.7%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 56W / 18L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 62 tips
Accuracy 67.7%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 42W / 20L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 68.2%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 30W / 14L
5
1X
Volume 39 tips
Accuracy 79.5%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 31W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 10 tips
Accuracy 80%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 8W / 2L

HIGH = high-confidence market. MED = performing, watch for more. LOW = below-par returns. Min. 3 graded tips to appear.


78.5%
30-day accuracy
177 graded tips
70.6%
This Week
139
Correct Calls
38
Missed Calls
177
Total Graded
View Full Record →


Leverage More Tips


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.