Must Win Teams Today

Must Win Teams Today



Today's Picks
Ranked by probability • Fri 24 Jul
PRIME
Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Over 1.5 Hungary NB 1 7:00 pm
90%
prob
PRIME
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
Over 2.5 Russia Youth League 3:00 pm
80%
prob
SOLID
Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
1 Lithuania 1 Lyga 1:00 pm
60%
prob
SOLID
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
60%
prob
SOLID
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
1 Iceland Besta deild karla 9:00 pm
60%
prob
SOLID
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2 11:30 am
50%
prob
SOLID
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1 Australia NPL Victoria 11:30 am
50%
prob
SOLID
Tampere Utd vs Inter Turku 2
1 Finland Ykkonen 5:00 pm
50%
prob

Intelligence Feed
Friday • Site avg 78.8% • Data-derived, no guesswork
Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Over 1.5 Hungary NB 1 7:00 pm
80
BACK IT
We have this one at 90% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
Over 2.5 Russia Youth League 3:00 pm
68
LEAN YES
We have this one at 80% -- above our internal threshold for high-conviction plays. Over 2.5 has been below our average lately. We are publishing selectively here. Russia Youth League has been a tough market for us. Factored into the score. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
1 Lithuania 1 Lyga 1:00 pm
72
LEAN YES
Our model puts this at 60%. Sits in the workable range, not a banker. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
71
LEAN YES
Our model puts this at 60%. Sits in the workable range, not a banker. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
1 Iceland Besta deild karla 9:00 pm
73
LEAN YES
Our model puts this at 60%. Sits in the workable range, not a banker. We back Iceland Besta deild karla consistently -- our edge here is backed by volume. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Essendon Royals SC vs Kingston City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2 11:30 am
68
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
1 Australia NPL Victoria 11:30 am
68
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.
Tampere Utd vs Inter Turku 2
1 Finland Ykkonen 5:00 pm
68
LEAN YES
At 50%, this is a speculative call. Size accordingly. Friday has been a trickier day for us historically. Noted.

Scores derived from 90-day historical data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.



Scoreboard
Last 30 days • 160 calls tracked
78.8%
Elite Form
Correct picks 126 — 78.8%
Incorrect picks 34 — 21.3%
126
Correct
34
Incorrect
160
Total Calls
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Competition Breakdown
Last 30 Days
# CompetitionGradedCorrectMissedAccuracyTrack
🥇 Argentina Primera Women 6 6 0 100%
🥈 Euro U19 4 4 0 100%
🥉 USA USL League Two 3 3 0 100%
4 Russia FNL 2 - Div B 2 2 0 100%
5 Russia FNL 2 2 2 0 100%
6 Ireland FA Cup 2 2 0 100%
7 Iceland Besta deild Women 2 2 0 100%
8 Finland Veikkausliiga 2 2 0 100%
9 Finland Kakkonen A 2 2 0 100%
10 Euro U19 Women 3 3 0 100%
11 Finland Kakkonen C 2 2 0 100%
12 Chile Primera Division Women 2 2 0 100%
13 China FA Cup 2 2 0 100%
14 Belarusian Cup 2 2 0 100%
15 Brazil Serie B 2 2 0 100%
16 World Cup 2026 13 12 1 92.3%
17 Latvia Virsliga 6 5 1 83.3%
18 Conference League Qualifier 10 8 2 80%
19 UCL Qualifiers 5 4 1 80%
20 Europa League Qualifier 3 2 1 66.7%
21 China League One 3 2 1 66.7%
22 Iceland Division 1 3 2 1 66.7%
23 Club Friendly 12 8 4 66.7%
24 Lithuania TopLyga 3 2 1 66.7%
25 Finland Kakkonen B 2 1 1 50%
26 Belarus Vysshaya Liga 2 1 1 50%
27 Russia Youth League 2 1 1 50%
28 Lithuania 1 Lyga 2 1 1 50%
29 Morocco Botola Pro 2 1 1 50%
30 Kuwait Premier League 2 1 1 50%
31 China Super League 4 2 2 50%
32 Iceland Besta deild karla 2 1 1 50%
33 Ecuador Liga Pro 2 1 1 50%
34 Australia NPL Victoria 2 0 2 0%
Competitions with fewer than 2 graded tips not shown

Market Accuracy
How each market type is performing
1 Top market
62W  /  14L  • 76
81.6%
2 Top market
14W  /  4L  • 18
77.8%
Over 1.5 Top market
19W  /  6L  • 25
76%
1X Top market
9W  /  3L  • 12
75%
Over 2.5 Top market
21W  /  7L  • 28
75%

Edge Calculator

Paste any bookmaker price and your estimated probability to instantly see whether the market is giving you edge or taking it from you.

Bookie Price (@)
Your Probability (%)

Form Matrix
Win rate by market × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Overall
1 78% 86% 79% 75% 75% 78% 72% 78%
1X 64% 91% 78% 88% 80% 100% 81%
2 50% 86% 88% 69% 64% 76% 80% 74%
BTTS
Over 1.5 67% 71% 56% 75% 100% 100% 72%
Over 2.5 75% 74% 69% 67% 58% 77% 80% 71%
X2 67% 100% 80%
Key: <40% 40-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

Heat Check
Recent 7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • Hottest leagues first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline: 100%100%
100%
now
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline: 66.7%100%
66.7%
now
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline: 83.3%100%
83.3%
now
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline: 80%100%
80%
now
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline: 92.3%100%
92.3%
now
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline: 80%100%
66.7%
now
-13.3pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. White marker = baseline.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where we publish most confidently • last 90 days

Each market is ranked by two signals at once: how often we publish it (volume depth) and how often it wins (accuracy). High depth + high accuracy = our most trusted markets.

1
1
Volume 304 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
We publish this a lot and it delivers. Core market.
HIGH 239W / 65L
2
2
Volume 72 tips
Accuracy 79.2%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 57W / 15L
3
Over 2.5
Volume 68 tips
Accuracy 70.6%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 48W / 20L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 50 tips
Accuracy 72%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 36W / 14L
5
1X
Volume 39 tips
Accuracy 79.5%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 31W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 9 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
We pick our spots here and it shows. Selective edge.
HIGH 7W / 2L

HIGH = high-confidence market. MED = performing, watch for more. LOW = below-par returns. Min. 3 graded tips to appear.


78.8%
30-day accuracy
160 graded tips
92.6%
This Week
126
Correct Calls
34
Missed Calls
160
Total Graded
View Full Record →


Leverage More Tips


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.