Fixture Document · Type V
L

Lokomotiv Moscow U19

Home Nation
W W W W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
11:00 am
N/A
K
Konoplev Academy U19
Away Nation
W W L D W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
59%
Friday, 10th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 50%
Draw 30%
Konoplev Academy U19 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-16.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTL<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<U19<<K<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<AF5F20E0E4BTT2607102M2607109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 10 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Friday, 10th July 2026 KO: 11:00 am Pick: 1 (Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%) Verification: AF5F20E0E
Head to Head
Record
6
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
0
Draws
1
Konoplev Academy U19
7
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
71%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lokomotiv Moscow U19 won 6 of the last 7 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Metric
Konoplev Academy U19
2.5
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
50%
50%
4.2
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
L0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 3.2%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
L1
1-0 3.4%
1-1 6.8%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.9%
L2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
L3
3-0 2.6%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 5.2%
3-3 3.5%
3-4 1.7%
3-5 0.7%
L4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.9%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.4%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.3%) 3-1(5.2%) 3-2(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Konoplev Academy U19 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Overall
5.9
Scoring
8.3
Defence
4.3
Konoplev Academy U19
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.09.25YL
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
02.05.25YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Konoplev Academy U190
01.08.24YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U190
Konoplev Academy U194
10.05.24YL
Konoplev Academy U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
28.07.23YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U199
Konoplev Academy U190
09.12.20YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U196
Konoplev Academy U190
28.10.20YL
Konoplev Academy U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Recent Form
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
03.07.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
W
26.06.26YL
Rubin Kazan U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
W
22.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Ural U191
W
15.05.26YL
Zenit U190
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
W
07.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
D
01.05.26YL
FK Rostov U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
L
24.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Rodina Moscow U191
W
17.04.26YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
D
10.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
D
03.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
W
Konoplev Academy U19
03.07.26YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U196
W
26.06.26YL
Konoplev Academy U193
Chertanovo M. U190
W
22.05.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U193
Konoplev Academy U192
L
15.05.26YL
Konoplev Academy U191
CSKA Moscow U191
D
07.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
W
01.05.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
W
24.04.26YL
Ural U193
Konoplev Academy U191
L
17.04.26YL
Konoplev Academy U193
Dynamo Moscow U192
W
10.04.26YL
Zenit U193
Konoplev Academy U190
L
03.04.26YL
Konoplev Academy U191
Nizhny Novgorod U191
D
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 (Home)
22.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Ural U191
W
07.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
D
24.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U193
Rodina Moscow U191
W
10.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
CSKA Moscow U194
D
03.04.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U194
Fakel Voronezh U192
W
20.03.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U195
Dynamo Moscow U190
W
06.03.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Almaz Antey U192
D
07.11.25YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
Sochi U191
W
24.10.25YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U196
Baltika U190
W
17.10.25YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U190
Rubin Kazan U190
D
Konoplev Academy U19 (Away)
03.07.26YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U196
W
22.05.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U193
Konoplev Academy U192
L
07.05.26YL
Rubin Kazan U192
Konoplev Academy U193
W
01.05.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U192
Konoplev Academy U193
W
24.04.26YL
Ural U193
Konoplev Academy U191
L
10.04.26YL
Zenit U193
Konoplev Academy U190
L
20.03.26YL
Krasnodar U194
Konoplev Academy U191
L
06.03.26YL
FK Rostov U190
Konoplev Academy U192
W
21.11.25YL
Akhmat Grozny U190
Konoplev Academy U191
W
31.10.25YL
Spartak Moscow U191
Konoplev Academy U193
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 10th July 2026, Lokomotiv Moscow U19 host Konoplev Academy U19 at N/A in Russia Youth League. We recommend Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win as the standout selection.

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Konoplev Academy U19 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lokomotiv Moscow U19, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Konoplev Academy U19's 1, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.

Our verdict: lokomotiv moscow u19 to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this Russia Youth League preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 1 at @1.32, which the model rates around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 11:00 am.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19?
Our selection is 1 — Lokomotiv Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Lokomotiv Moscow U19's current form?
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Konoplev Academy U19 been performing recently?
Konoplev Academy U19 have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 lead with 6 wins versus Konoplev Academy U19's 1, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
⚠️
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