Fixture Document · Type V
F

FAR Rabat

Home Nation
D L D D W
3W 6D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
8:00 pm
N/A
S
Stade Marocain
Away Nation
L L W W W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
51%
Wednesday, 8th July 2026 Selection
1
Backing FAR Rabat to win
FAR Rabat 60%
Draw 20%
Stade Marocain 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob82.6%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-31.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTFAR<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<74BAF0D184BTT2607082M2607089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 8 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FAR Rabat to win
1.21
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No65% Stade Marocain Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain Competition: Morocco Coupe Du Trone Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (FAR Rabat to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 51% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Stade Marocain Clean Sheet (60%) Verification: 74BAF0D18
Head to Head
Record
3
FAR Rabat
1
Draws
1
Stade Marocain
5
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FAR Rabat won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FAR Rabat
Metric
Stade Marocain
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.4
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-6-1
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
30%
60%
1.8
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 14.9%
0-2 6.7%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 14.9%
1-1 13.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.9%) 2-0(6.7%) 2-1(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FAR Rabat Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Stade Marocain Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FAR Rabat
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Stade Marocain
Overall
6.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 38%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.03.23COU
FAR Rabat3
Stade Marocain1
27.08.17COU
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain2
23.08.17COU
Stade Marocain2
FAR Rabat3
17.03.02BOT
Stade Marocain2
FAR Rabat1
28.10.01BOT
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain0
Recent Form
FAR Rabat
05.07.26BOT
FAR Rabat0
Renaissance Zemamra0
D
02.07.26BOT
COD Meknes3
FAR Rabat2
L
28.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Union Touarga2
D
25.06.26BOT
Berkane2
FAR Rabat2
D
21.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Kawkab Marrakech0
W
18.06.26BOT
Dcheira1
FAR Rabat1
D
14.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Wydad AC1
W
09.06.26BOT
Maghreb Fez0
FAR Rabat0
D
04.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
30.05.26BOT
FUS Rabat1
FAR Rabat1
D
Stade Marocain
05.07.26B2
Moghreb Tetouan1
Stade Marocain0
L
27.06.26B2
Stade Marocain0
Widad Temara1
L
20.06.26B2
Chabab Mohammedia0
Stade Marocain1
W
14.06.26B2
Stade Marocain1
Jeunesse Massira0
W
06.06.26B2
US Boujaad0
Stade Marocain1
W
24.05.26B2
Stade Marocain2
Wydad Fes0
W
10.05.26B2
RAC Casablanca0
Stade Marocain1
W
03.05.26B2
Chabab Benguerir1
Stade Marocain0
L
26.04.26B2
Stade Marocain1
USM Oujda0
W
04.04.26B2
KAC Kenitra1
Stade Marocain0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, FAR Rabat host Stade Marocain at N/A in Morocco Coupe Du Trone. We recommend FAR Rabat to win as the standout selection.

FAR Rabat arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Stade Marocain are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FAR Rabat, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Stade Marocain's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: far rabat to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this Morocco Coupe Du Trone preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 1 at @1.21, which the model rates around 60,20,20%. Kick-off is 8:00 pm.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 8 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain?
Our selection is 1 — FAR Rabat to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is FAR Rabat's current form?
FAR Rabat have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stade Marocain been performing recently?
Stade Marocain have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FAR Rabat lead with 3 wins versus Stade Marocain's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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