Fixture Document · Type V
K

KDV Tomsk

Home Nation
L W D D L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1:00 pm
N/A
A
Akron Togliatti 2
Away Nation
D L W L W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
53%
Wednesday, 7th January 2026 Selection
1
Backing KDV Tomsk to win
KDV Tomsk 50%
Draw 30%
Akron Togliatti 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-22.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTKDV<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<29B2B304774BTT2601072M2601079<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 1 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — KDV Tomsk to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
KDV Tomsk vs Akron Togliatti 2 Competition: Russia FNL 2 - Div B Date: Wednesday, 7th January 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (KDV Tomsk to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Verification: 9B2B30477
Head to Head
Record
2
KDV Tomsk
0
Draws
1
Akron Togliatti 2
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip KDV Tomsk won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KDV Tomsk
Metric
Akron Togliatti 2
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.8%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
K1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
K2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
K4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-0(7.2%) 2-0(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
KDV Tomsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Akron Togliatti 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KDV Tomsk
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Akron Togliatti 2
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
07.09.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk0
Akron Togliatti 22
01.06.25FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk3
Recent Form
KDV Tomsk
28.06.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod4
KDV Tomsk0
L
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
W
14.06.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 20
KDV Tomsk0
D
07.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Izhevsk1
D
31.05.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
KDV Tomsk1
L
24.05.26FNL2B
Orenburg 23
KDV Tomsk0
L
17.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Rubin Kazan 20
W
10.05.26FNL2B
Nosta0
KDV Tomsk2
W
03.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
W
Akron Togliatti 2
28.06.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
Orenburg 21
D
21.06.26FNL2B
Rubin Kazan 21
Akron Togliatti 20
L
14.06.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 25
Nosta0
W
07.06.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
Akron Togliatti 21
L
31.05.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1
Akron Togliatti 23
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 23
Ural 21
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
Khimik5
L
03.05.26FNL2B
Izhevsk2
Akron Togliatti 21
L
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
L
KDV Tomsk (Home)
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
W
07.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Izhevsk1
D
17.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Rubin Kazan 20
W
03.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
26.04.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2
W
12.04.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Chelyabinsk 20
W
25.01.26CF
KDV Tomsk2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
19.10.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Rubin Kazan 22
W
05.10.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk2
Khimik1
W
Akron Togliatti 2 (Away)
21.06.26FNL2B
Rubin Kazan 21
Akron Togliatti 20
L
07.06.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
Akron Togliatti 21
L
31.05.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1
Akron Togliatti 23
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
03.05.26FNL2B
Izhevsk2
Akron Togliatti 21
L
26.04.26FNL2B
Orenburg 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
12.04.26FNL2B
Nosta2
Akron Togliatti 22
D
12.10.25FNL2B
Amkar3
Akron Togliatti 20
L
21.09.25FNL2B
Volna Nizhegorodskaya4
Akron Togliatti 22
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, KDV Tomsk host Akron Togliatti 2 at N/A in Russia FNL 2 - Div B. We recommend KDV Tomsk to win as the standout selection.

KDV Tomsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Akron Togliatti 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KDV Tomsk, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Akron Togliatti 2's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kdv tomsk to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let us not pretend football betting is easy — anyone who tells you it is has either not done it long enough or is selling you something. But difficult is not the same as impossible. The bettors who survive over the long haul share one quiet habit: they always know exactly what they are backing and why, before a single penny goes down. That habit shaped this Russia FNL 2 – Div B preview.

The home side’s recent form reads 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that is what the bookmakers leaned on to set their line. We get past the surface and into the detail. A side that has won three of their last five at home, scoring freely and keeping things tight at the back, is a fundamentally different proposition from one scraping results and getting caught on the break. The recent record tells you which camp they fall into, and N/A will reward whichever it is.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and recent away form is arguably the single most predictive number in this sport when handled with care. It accounts for squad depth, the toll of travel, and tactical adaptability in unfamiliar surroundings. We read that sequence as its own story rather than a footnote to the season.

With both threads pulled together, our position is 1 at @1.33, which the model rates around 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 1:00 pm.

We have done the work on this one and we are comfortable standing behind it. Run through the rest of our predictions before you call it a day.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KDV Tomsk vs Akron Togliatti 2?
Our selection is 1 — KDV Tomsk to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is KDV Tomsk's current form?
KDV Tomsk have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Akron Togliatti 2 been performing recently?
Akron Togliatti 2 have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KDV Tomsk lead with 2 wins versus Akron Togliatti 2's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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