WON Tip WON Criciuma U20 3-0 Joinville U20
Fixture Document · Type V
C

Criciuma U20

Home Nation
W D D L W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
J
Joinville U20
Away Nation
W L L L L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
50%
Friday, 5th June 2026 Selection
1
Backing Criciuma U20 to win
Criciuma U20 50%
Draw 30%
Joinville U20 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-23.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTC<<<<<<<<U20<<<<<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<U20<<<<48DBF54254BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 6 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Criciuma U20 to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20 Competition: Brazil Catarinense U20 Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Criciuma U20 to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Verification: 48DBF5425
Head to Head
Record
3
Criciuma U20
0
Draws
1
Joinville U20
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Criciuma U20 won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Criciuma U20
Metric
Joinville U20
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.2
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
30%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
C0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
C3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(8.3%) 2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Criciuma U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Joinville U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Criciuma U20
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Joinville U20
Overall
2.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.07.25CAT
Joinville U201
Criciuma U200
27.04.25CAT
Criciuma U205
Joinville U200
15.06.24CAT
Joinville U201
Criciuma U202
17.04.24CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U201
Recent Form
Criciuma U20
02.06.26CAT
Brusque U200
Criciuma U204
W
27.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Bahia U201
D
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
20.05.26BRA
Sao Paulo U203
Criciuma U200
L
16.05.26BRA
Criciuma U202
Fluminense U200
W
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
L
09.05.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U200
Criciuma U203
W
06.05.26BRA
Athletico-PR U201
Criciuma U201
D
02.05.26CAT
Criciuma U201
Avai U201
D
29.04.26BRA
RB Bragantino U204
Criciuma U202
L
Joinville U20
29.05.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U200
Joinville U201
W
27.05.26CAT
Joinville U200
Barra FC U202
L
09.05.26CAT
Avai U203
Joinville U200
L
05.05.26CAT
Joinville U200
Brusque U202
L
25.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Chapecoense-SC U203
L
19.04.26CAT
Nacao U204
Joinville U204
D
13.04.26CAT
Figueirense U203
Joinville U200
L
07.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Concordia U202
D
02.08.25CAT
Joinville U201
Barra FC U202
L
26.07.25CAT
Concordia U201
Joinville U203
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Criciuma U20 host Joinville U20 in Brazil Catarinense U20. We recommend Criciuma U20 to win as the standout selection.

Criciuma U20 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Joinville U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Criciuma U20, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Joinville U20's 1, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: criciuma u20 to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Brazil Catarinense U20 clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.36 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 6 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Criciuma U20 vs Joinville U20?
Our selection is 1 — Criciuma U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Criciuma U20's current form?
Criciuma U20 have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Joinville U20 been performing recently?
Joinville U20 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Criciuma U20 lead with 3 wins versus Joinville U20's 1, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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