WON Tip WON Auda 2-0 Ogre United
Fixture Document · Type V
A

Auda

Home Nation
W W L L W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
O
Ogre United
Away Nation
D L L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
MODERATE
50%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Selection
1
Backing Auda to win
Auda 60%
Draw 20%
Ogre United 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob85.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-35.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTA<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<U<<<<<<<<<<<68EAAB9E54BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Auda to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Auda vs Ogre United Competition: Latvia Virsliga Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Auda to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%) Verification: 68EAAB9E5
Head to Head
Record
0
Auda
1
Draws
0
Ogre United
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Auda won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Auda
Metric
Ogre United
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.8
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
A0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 2.9%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 3.6%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 3.1%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.4%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 3-1(7.6%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Auda Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ogre United Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Auda
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
Ogre United
Overall
0.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 56%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 53%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
Recent Form
Auda
26.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Auda1
W
22.05.26VIR
Auda3
FK Liepaja1
W
17.05.26VIR
Auda0
RFS3
L
12.05.26VIR
Riga FC4
Auda1
L
07.05.26VIR
Auda7
Grobina0
W
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova1
Auda2
W
26.04.26VIR
Auda2
Tukums 20001
W
21.04.26VIR
Jelgava2
Auda3
W
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
12.04.26VIR
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
L
Ogre United
25.05.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
21.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils3
Ogre United1
L
16.05.26VIR
Super Nova3
Ogre United1
L
12.05.26VIR
FK Liepaja4
Ogre United1
L
07.05.26VIR
Tukums 20006
Ogre United1
L
02.05.26VIR
Ogre United3
RFS4
L
27.04.26VIR
Ogre United0
Jelgava1
L
22.04.26VIR
Riga FC4
Ogre United0
L
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
13.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Auda host Ogre United in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend Auda to win as the standout selection.

Auda arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ogre United are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Auda, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ogre United's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: auda to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Latvia Virsliga clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.17 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Ogre United?
Our selection is 1 — Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ogre United been performing recently?
Ogre United have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 0 wins versus Ogre United's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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