WON Tip WON AB Argir 3-2 NSI Runavik
Fixture Document · Type V
A

AB Argir

Home Nation
L L L D L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
N
NSI Runavik
Away Nation
W W L W L
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
VERIFIED
81%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob69.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+11.1%Value detected
Kelly %36.8%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTAB<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<NSI<R<<<<<<<<<<<<3804974EE4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.43
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
AB Argir vs NSI Runavik Competition: F'Islands Premier League Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 81% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Verification: 3804974EE
Head to Head
Record
1
AB Argir
0
Draws
9
NSI Runavik
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AB Argir
Metric
NSI Runavik
1
Goals For / Game
2.8
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-2-7
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
10%
70%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 8.5%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 4.6%
0-5 2.3%
A1
1-0 2.9%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 7.9%
1-4 5.0%
1-5 2.6%
A2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.8%
2-5 1.4%
A3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.5%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.3%) 0-2(8.5%) 1-3(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AB Argir
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.3
NSI Runavik
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
21.08.22PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
15.05.22PL
NSI Runavik1
AB Argir4
18.04.22PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
04.10.20PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
28.06.20PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
12.06.20PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir0
18.08.19PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik5
15.06.19PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir0
12.05.19PL
NSI Runavik5
AB Argir1
Recent Form
AB Argir
25.05.26PL
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
L
18.05.26PL
AB Argir2
Vikingur3
L
10.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
AB Argir0
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
26.04.26PL
AB Argir1
B36 Torshavn4
L
20.04.26PL
AB Argir1
Klaksvik1
D
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
L
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
L
06.04.26PL
AB Argir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
W
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
L
NSI Runavik
25.05.26PL
Streymur0
NSI Runavik1
W
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
W
13.05.26CUP
Klaksvik4
NSI Runavik2
L
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
W
04.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
NSI Runavik0
L
30.04.26CUP
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
NSI Runavik4
W
26.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag3
NSI Runavik3
D
20.04.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Streymur0
W
16.04.26CUP
Streymur1
NSI Runavik7
W
12.04.26PL
NSI Runavik2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, AB Argir host NSI Runavik in F'Islands Premier League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

AB Argir arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

NSI Runavik are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AB Argir, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to NSI Runavik's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming F’Islands Premier League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is Over 2.5, taking full advantage of the current @1.43 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AB Argir vs NSI Runavik?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is AB Argir's current form?
AB Argir have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has NSI Runavik been performing recently?
NSI Runavik have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AB Argir lead with 1 wins versus NSI Runavik's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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