LOST Tip LOST Tammeka 0-1 Levadia
Fixture Document · Type V
T

Tammeka

Home Nation
W W W L L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
0-1
L
Levadia
Away Nation
W W W W W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
VERIFIED
87%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob73.5%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge+13.5%Value detected
Kelly %50.9%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTT<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<4A1896E674BTT2607222M2607229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tammeka vs Levadia Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 87% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: 4A1896E67
Head to Head
Record
0
Tammeka
1
Draws
9
Levadia
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tammeka
Metric
Levadia
1.3
Goals For / Game
3.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-1-4
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
50%
80%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
T0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 9.8%
0-3 7.4%
0-4 4.1%
0-5 1.9%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.4%
1-4 4.1%
1-5 1.9%
T2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.9%
T3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(9.8%) 1-2(9.8%) 0-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tammeka
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Levadia
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 39%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
08.02.26CF
Levadia4
Tammeka2
05.10.25ML
Levadia3
Tammeka0
13.09.25ML
Tammeka2
Levadia2
26.04.25ML
Levadia4
Tammeka0
08.03.25ML
Tammeka2
Levadia3
18.01.25CF
Levadia3
Tammeka1
19.10.24ML
Tammeka0
Levadia3
16.08.24ML
Levadia3
Tammeka1
16.06.24ML
Levadia2
Tammeka1
Recent Form
Tammeka
15.05.26ML
Tammeka3
Nomme Utd1
W
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
W
01.05.26ML
Paide0
Tammeka1
W
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
L
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
L
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Paide4
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
L
03.04.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
W
21.03.26ML
Nomme Utd2
Tammeka3
W
Levadia
24.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Levadia6
W
17.05.26ML
Paide1
Levadia3
W
09.05.26ML
Levadia3
Harju JK Laagri0
W
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
W
26.04.26ML
Levadia7
Narva0
W
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
W
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
08.04.26ML
Levadia2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
04.04.26ML
Levadia1
Nomme Utd1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Tammeka host Levadia in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Tammeka arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Levadia are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Tammeka, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Levadia's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is Over 2.5, taking full advantage of the current @1.36 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tammeka vs Levadia?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Tammeka's current form?
Tammeka have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Levadia been performing recently?
Levadia have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tammeka lead with 0 wins versus Levadia's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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