WON Tip WON FC Gandzasar 0-2 Pyunik Yereven
Fixture Document · Type V
F

FC Gandzasar

Home Nation
L L L W D
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
0-2
P
Pyunik Yereven
Away Nation
W L D W L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
63%
Monday, 18th May 2026 Selection
2
Backing Pyunik Yereven to win
FC Gandzasar 20%
Draw 30%
Pyunik Yereven 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob78.1%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-15.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTFC<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<Y<<<<<<<<<024CBFB484BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
FC Gandzasar
0
Draws
6
Pyunik Yereven
6
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
17%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Pyunik Yereven won 6 of 6 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gandzasar
Metric
Pyunik Yereven
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.9
2.1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
30%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 11.7%
0-2 8.8%
0-3 4.4%
0-4 1.7%
0-5 0.5%
F1
1-0 8.2%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
F2
2-0 4.3%
2-1 6.5%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 1.5%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.7%) 1-2(9.2%) 0-2(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Gandzasar Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Pyunik Yereven Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Gandzasar
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.0
Pyunik Yereven
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.10.25CUP
Pyunik Yerevan3
FC Gandzasar0
25.10.25PL
Pyunik Yerevan2
FC Gandzasar0
27.09.25PL
FC Gandzasar0
Pyunik Yerevan1
12.04.25PL
FC Gandzasar1
Pyunik Yerevan3
02.12.24PL
Pyunik Yerevan1
FC Gandzasar0
07.11.24PL
FC Gandzasar0
Pyunik Yerevan5
Recent Form
FC Gandzasar
09.05.26PL
Alashkert3
FC Gandzasar1
L
06.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
L
02.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Van1
L
26.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar3
Shirak Gyumri2
W
19.04.26PL
BKMA1
FC Gandzasar1
D
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
L
05.04.26PL
Urartu4
FC Gandzasar2
L
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
W
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
W
06.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Urartu2
D
Pyunik Yereven
09.05.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan2
BKMA0
W
06.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia1
Pyunik Yerevan0
L
03.05.26PL
Noah0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
23.04.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan2
Urartu1
W
18.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Pyunik Yerevan0
L
11.04.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan0
Ararat-Armenia2
L
06.04.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Pyunik Yerevan1
W
01.04.26CUP
Noah2
Pyunik Yerevan2
D
21.03.26PL
Alashkert0
Pyunik Yerevan1
W
15.03.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan1
Alashkert0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 18th May 2026, FC Gandzasar host Pyunik Yereven in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Pyunik Yereven to win as the standout selection.

FC Gandzasar arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pyunik Yereven are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Gandzasar, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Pyunik Yereven's 6, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 17% of those meetings.

Our verdict: pyunik yereven to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Armenia Premier League clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 2, taking full advantage of the current @1.28 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gandzasar vs Pyunik Yereven?
Our selection is 2 — Pyunik Yereven to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is FC Gandzasar's current form?
FC Gandzasar have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pyunik Yereven been performing recently?
Pyunik Yereven have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gandzasar lead with 0 wins versus Pyunik Yereven's 6, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
⚠️
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