WON Tip WON FK Sarajevo 4-0 Sloga Meridian
Fixture Document · Type V
F

FK Sarajevo

Home Nation
W W D W L
3W 2D 5L → Steady
VS
4-0
S
Sloga Meridian
Away Nation
L L D L L
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
MODERATE
49%
Wednesday, 22nd April 2026 Selection
1
Backing FK Sarajevo to win
FK Sarajevo 50%
Draw 30%
Sloga Meridian 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-27.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTFK<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<A27DF34F14BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 22 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FK Sarajevo to win
1.30
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Meridian Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Wednesday, 22nd April 2026 Pick: 1 (FK Sarajevo to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 49% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Verification: A27DF34F1
Head to Head
Record
7
FK Sarajevo
0
Draws
3
Sloga Meridian
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FK Sarajevo won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FK Sarajevo
Metric
Sloga Meridian
0.8
Goals For / Game
0.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-2-5
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
30%
10%
2.1
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 12.3%
0-1 10.4%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 15.3%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.3%) 2-0(9.6%) 2-1(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FK Sarajevo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sloga Meridian Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FK Sarajevo
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.7
Sloga Meridian
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.02.26LIG
Sloga Meridian0
FK Sarajevo1
24.10.25LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Sloga Meridian0
09.08.25LIG
Sloga Meridian2
FK Sarajevo1
03.05.25LIG
Sloga Meridian0
FK Sarajevo4
09.02.25CUP
FK Sarajevo3
Sloga Meridian1
09.11.24LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Sloga Meridian0
12.08.24LIG
Sloga Meridian1
FK Sarajevo3
04.05.24LIG
Sloga Meridian0
FK Sarajevo1
28.10.23LIG
Sloga Meridian3
FK Sarajevo0
30.07.23LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Sloga Meridian2
Recent Form
FK Sarajevo
18.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
FK Sarajevo2
W
11.04.26LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Zrinjski1
W
04.04.26LIG
Zeljeznicar0
FK Sarajevo0
D
22.03.26LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Velez Mostar0
W
18.03.26SC
Zrinjski1
FK Sarajevo0
L
15.03.26LIG
Siroki Brijeg1
FK Sarajevo0
L
11.03.26CUP
Velez Mostar4
FK Sarajevo1
L
07.03.26LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Prijedor2
D
28.02.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka2
FK Sarajevo0
L
25.02.26CUP
FK Sarajevo0
Velez Mostar1
L
Sloga Meridian
18.04.26LIG
Sloga Meridian0
Zrinjski3
L
15.04.26CUP
Sloga Meridian0
Velez Mostar3
L
11.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Sloga Meridian0
D
08.04.26CUP
Velez Mostar3
Sloga Meridian1
L
03.04.26LIG
Prijedor3
Sloga Meridian1
L
21.03.26LIG
Sloga Meridian1
Posusje0
W
14.03.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Sloga Meridian0
D
10.03.26CUP
Sloga Meridian1
Zeljeznicar1
D
07.03.26LIG
Sloga Meridian0
Zeljeznicar3
L
01.03.26LIG
Siroki Brijeg1
Sloga Meridian0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, FK Sarajevo host Sloga Meridian in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. We recommend FK Sarajevo to win as the standout selection.

FK Sarajevo arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sloga Meridian are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FK Sarajevo, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sloga Meridian's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fk sarajevo to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.30 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 22 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Meridian?
Our selection is 1 — FK Sarajevo to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is FK Sarajevo's current form?
FK Sarajevo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sloga Meridian been performing recently?
Sloga Meridian have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FK Sarajevo lead with 7 wins versus Sloga Meridian's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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