WON Tip WON Union Gurten 0-0 Weindorf St. Anna
Fixture Document · Type V
U

Union Gurten

Home Nation
W W W W W
7W 0D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
0-0
W
Weindorf St. Anna
Away Nation
D L L W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
60%
Friday, 17th April 2026 Selection
1
Backing Union Gurten to win
Union Gurten 60%
Draw 20%
Weindorf St. Anna 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-20%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTU<<<<<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<S<<<A<<<5F975F5DE4BTT2607212M2607219<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 18 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Union Gurten to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Union Gurten vs Weindorf St. Anna Competition: Austria Regionalliga Central Date: Friday, 17th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Union Gurten to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Verification: 5F975F5DE
Head to Head
Record
5
Union Gurten
3
Draws
2
Weindorf St. Anna
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Union Gurten won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Union Gurten
Metric
Weindorf St. Anna
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
U0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
U1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
U2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
U3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
U5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.9%) 2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Union Gurten Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Weindorf St. Anna Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Union Gurten
Overall
7.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Weindorf St. Anna
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.09.25Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna0
Union Gurten4
28.05.25Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten3
Weindorf St. Anna1
02.11.24Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna1
Union Gurten0
30.03.24Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten1
Weindorf St. Anna0
26.08.23Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna0
Union Gurten1
20.05.23Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna1
Union Gurten1
08.10.22Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten1
Weindorf St. Anna0
23.04.22Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten0
Weindorf St. Anna0
11.09.21Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna3
Union Gurten2
26.09.20Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten1
Weindorf St. Anna1
Recent Form
Union Gurten
11.04.26Regionalliga Mitte
ASK Voitsberg0
Union Gurten1
W
03.04.26Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten3
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
W
28.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Dietach0
Union Gurten1
W
20.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten2
LASK (Am)1
W
13.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Lafnitz1
Union Gurten2
W
06.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Union Gurten2
Gleisdorf1
W
27.02.26Regionalliga Mitte
Deutschlandsberger4
Union Gurten1
L
21.02.26Club Friendly
Schallerbach1
Union Gurten2
W
06.02.26Club Friendly
Hertha Wels2
Union Gurten0
L
31.01.26Club Friendly
A. Salzburg1
Union Gurten0
L
Weindorf St. Anna
11.04.26Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna1
Oedt1
D
02.04.26Regionalliga Mitte
Atus Velden2
Weindorf St. Anna1
L
28.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna0
Ried (Am)2
L
21.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Treibach0
Weindorf St. Anna2
W
14.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna0
Kalsdorf1
L
07.03.26Regionalliga Mitte
Weindorf St. Anna0
ASK Voitsberg8
L
28.02.26Regionalliga Mitte
Wolfsberger AC (Am)3
Weindorf St. Anna0
L
10.02.26Club Friendly
Weindorf St. Anna5
UFC Fehring1
W
06.02.26Club Friendly
Weindorf St. Anna2
Tillmitsch1
W
30.01.26Club Friendly
Weindorf St. Anna3
Ilzer SV1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Union Gurten host Weindorf St. Anna in Austria Regionalliga Central. We recommend Union Gurten to win as the standout selection.

Union Gurten arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Weindorf St. Anna are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Union Gurten, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Weindorf St. Anna's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: union gurten to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Austria Regionalliga Central clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.25 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 18 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Union Gurten vs Weindorf St. Anna?
Our selection is 1 — Union Gurten to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Union Gurten's current form?
Union Gurten have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Weindorf St. Anna been performing recently?
Weindorf St. Anna have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Union Gurten lead with 5 wins versus Weindorf St. Anna's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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