WON Tip WON Orbi 3-1 Margveti 2006
Fixture Document · Type V
O

Orbi

Home Nation
W W L W L
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
M
Margveti 2006
Away Nation
L L L L D
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
MODERATE
59%
Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Selection
1
Backing Orbi to win
Orbi 50%
Draw 30%
Margveti 2006 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.9%Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge-17.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Verification Code
V<BTTO<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<2006<<<<1D745777B4BTT2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
BD
Verified & stamped by BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst · Last checked 26 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Orbi to win
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Orbi vs Margveti 2006 Competition: Georgia Liga 3 Date: Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Orbi to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Verification: 1D745777B
Head to Head
Record
2
Orbi
0
Draws
0
Margveti 2006
2
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Orbi won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Orbi
Metric
Margveti 2006
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
O0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.3%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
O2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
O3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
O5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.7%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Orbi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Margveti 2006 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Orbi
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
Margveti 2006
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.09.25
LI3: FC Orbi3
Margveti 20061
17.04.25
LI3: Margveti 20060
FC Orbi6
Recent Form
Orbi
12.03.26
LI3: Gardabani0
FC Orbi1
W
05.03.26
LI3: FC Orbi3
Betlemi0
W
04.12.25
LI3: FC Orbi1
Tbilisi 20253
L
28.11.25
LI3: Gardabani1
FC Orbi2
W
20.11.25
LI3: FC Orbi1
Lokomotiv Tbilisi II3
L
13.11.25
LI3: Betlemi1
FC Orbi3
W
06.11.25
LI3: FC Orbi2
Merani Tbilisi0
W
30.10.25
LI3: Gori2
FC Orbi0
L
23.10.25
LI3: Odishi 19191
FC Orbi1
D
16.10.25
LI3: FC Orbi1
Khobi1
D
Margveti 2006
12.03.26
LI3: Margveti 20060
WIT Georgia3
L
05.03.26
LI3: Tbilisi 20252
Margveti 20061
L
05.12.25
LI3: Dusheti6
Margveti 20062
L
28.11.25
LI3: Margveti 20060
Odishi 19193
L
20.11.25
LI3: Margveti 20060
Didube0
D
13.11.25
LI3: Bakhmaro2
Margveti 20064
W
06.11.25
LI3: Margveti 20062
Borjomi2
D
30.10.25
LI3: Tbilisi 20253
Margveti 20061
L
23.10.25
LI3: Margveti 20062
Gardabani1
W
16.10.25
LI3: Loco. Tbilisi 21
Margveti 20062
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Orbi host Margveti 2006 in Georgia Liga 3. We recommend Orbi to win as the standout selection.

Orbi arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Margveti 2006 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Orbi, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Margveti 2006's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: orbi to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Making a steady profit from betting requires a cool head and a lot of patience, and this upcoming Georgia Liga 3 clash is a perfect test case. To beat the bookmakers, you have to completely ignore the news and just follow the data. The home outfit’s season sets the stage for the odds.

While their overall form dictates the opening lines, their immediate trends hold the real key to winning. Looking closely at their latest outings exposes their true capabilities in the final third and exactly how strong they are at the back. The traveling squad demands a very careful review too.

We have to balance their long-term form against the fresh evidence of their recent games to figure out their true worth in the current market. Previous meetings also play a massive role in shaping what we expect to see today. Checking the head-to-head records is vital for spotting tactical mismatches and historical dominance that basic algorithms always overlook.

Combining those past dynamics with current momentum makes it easy to spot the actual winner. After filtering all the stats, the best route to profit is clear. Our chosen bet is 1, taking full advantage of the current @1.30 odds.

As we wait for the game to go live, the pre-game work is done. The final score will eventually settle the tickets and the debate. Read the rest of our tips to stay ahead.

BD
BetTipsToday Verification Desk
Verifying Match Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a tip is stamped for publication.
Reviewed on 26 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Orbi vs Margveti 2006?
Our selection is 1 — Orbi to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Orbi's current form?
Orbi have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Margveti 2006 been performing recently?
Margveti 2006 have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Orbi lead with 2 wins versus Margveti 2006's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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